Match Info

SOUTH AMERICA: COPA SUDAMERICANA - GROUP STAGE - ROUND 2

Date: 20 April 2023, Thursday

Location: Campeón del Siglo (Montevideo)

Referee: Garay C. (Chi)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	beIN Sports


	Peñarol de Montevideo		Millonarios

	1	X	2
	2	3.3	4	Watch
	1.95	3.2	4
	1.94	3.25	4.1
	1.95	3.29	4.32
	1.91	3.1	4
	1.98	3.35	3.9	Watch
	2	3.2	3.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.96 ↓ (2.1)	3.24 ↑ (3.2)	4.02 ↑ (3.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Peñarol de Montevideo
47.8%

Draw
28.9%

Millonarios
23.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.2%

29%

26.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.9%

29.4%

26.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Peñarol de Montevideo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

Millonarios has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Peñarol de Montevideo than the current prediction. (-2.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Millonarios than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
42.9%	42.9%	14.3%

Peñarol de Montevideo - Millonarios Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Peñarol will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%). Millonarios will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 42.9%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Recent matches Peñarol is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Millonarios is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Millonarios could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Peñarol is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Peñarol won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-1.

Including matches at home between the teams Peñarol won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Peñarol de Montevideo
Uruguayan Primera Division
15.04.23	Peñarol de Montevideo - Danubio	2:0 ✺
09.04.23	Cerro Largo - Peñarol de Montevideo	0:0 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
05.04.23	América Mineiro - Peñarol de Montevideo	4:1 ✺
Uruguayan Primera Division
01.04.23	Peñarol de Montevideo - Nacional Montevideo	2:0 ✺
25.03.23	Liverpool Montevideo - Peñarol de Montevideo	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 WTLWL
- Millonarios FC
Colombian Primera A
11.04.23	Atlético Huila - Millonarios	1:1 ✺
08.04.23	Millonarios - Independiente Medellín	2:1 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
04.04.23	Millonarios - Defensa y Justicia	3:0 ✺
Colombian Primera A
01.04.23	Atlético Bucaramanga - Millonarios	0:2 ✺
29.03.23	Deportes Tolima - Millonarios	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 TWWWT

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
04.07.19	Peñarol de Montevideo - Millonarios	3:1

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