Match Info

Copa Libertadores - Play Offs - 1/8-finals

Date: 12 August 2025, Tuesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Campeón del Siglo (Montevideo) 🌤️ ...

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Argentina	21:30	Disney+
Asia	—	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 4, TOD
Australia	10:30	beIN Connect
Belarus	03:30	Okko Sport
Bosnia And Herzegovina	02:30	Arena Sport 1
Brazil	21:30	Paramount+
Canada	20:30	beIN Connect, beIN Sports XTRA Espanol
Chile	20:30	Disney+
Colombia	19:30	Disney+, ESPN 2
Croatia	02:30	Arena Sport 1
Greece	03:30	COSMOTE Sport 3
Indonesia	07:30	Mola TV
Israel	03:30	Sport 1
Italy	02:30	Como TV
Kosovo	02:30	Arena Premium 1
Malaysia	08:30	Mola
Mexico	18:30	Disney+
New Zealand	12:30	beIN Connect
Peru	19:30	Disney+, ESPN
Serbia	02:30	Arena Premium 1
Slovenia	02:30	Arena Sport 1
South America	—	ESPN South, ViX Latin America
Spain	02:30	LaLiga+
Turkey	03:30	S Sport, S Sport+
Uruguay	21:30	Disney+
Usa	20:30	beIN Connect, beIN Sports US XTRA Espanol, Fanatiz, Tubi TV
Venezuela	20:30	Disney+, Inter


	Peñarol de Montevideo		Racing

	1	X	2
	2.8	2.88	2.88	Watch
	2.65	2.95	2.8
	2.78	2.82	2.82	Watch
	2.83	2.9	2.94
	2.96	2.70	2.81	Watch
	2.7	2.9	2.75	Watch
	2.85	2.91	2.88	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.8 ↑ (2.74)	2.87 ↓ (3.08)	2.84 ↑ (2.76)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Peñarol de Montevideo
33.8%

Draw
33%

Racing
33.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

34.7%

30.9%

34.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.3%

31.1%

34.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Peñarol de Montevideo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

Racing has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Peñarol de Montevideo than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Racing than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
23.1%	69.2%	7.7%

Peñarol de Montevideo - Racing Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Peñarol will win (votes: 2 - 16.7%). Racing will win (votes: 1 - 8.3%). It will Tie (votes: 9 - 75%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 50.5% – 99.5%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 8 Selected Experts predict this event. Peñarol (votes: 2 - 25%). Tie (votes: 6 - 75%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Peñarol (1.94) (votes: 7 - 87.5%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DNB - Peñarol (1.77) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 17 Selected Experts predict this event. Peñarol (votes: 10 - 58.8%). Racing (votes: 1 - 5.9%). Tie (votes: 6 - 35.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Cortes B. (G) 17. Gularte E. 23. Mendez J. 34. Herrera N. 15. Olivera M. (C) 29. Remedi E. 5. Sosa I. 7. Cabrera J. 24. Jesus Trindade 10. Fernandez L. 11. Silvera M.	21. Arias G. (C) 3. Di Cesare M. 13. Sosa S. 23. Colombo N. 15. Martirena Torres G. N. 5. Nardoni J. 32. Almendra A. E. 27. Rojas G. 28. Solari S. 7. Vergara D. 9. Adrian Martinez
Substitutes
19. Arezo M. 25. Campana M. (G) 80. David Terans 50. Garcia Cardozo D. G. 2. Leo Coelho 27. Lucas Hernandez 37. Muhlethaler S. 4. Rodriguez J. 21. Silva G. 22. Suarez D. 32. Umpierrez L. 8. Villalba H.	77. Balboa A. 25. Cambeses F. (G) 17. Conechny T. 2. Garcia A. 34. Mura F. 18. Pardo F. 19. Rodriguez I. 6. Rojo M. 26. Sanchez R. 22. Torres E. 10. Vietto L. 36. Zuculini B.
Coaches
Aguirre D.	Costas G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
22', Fernandez L. ↓, David Terans ↑,
34', Colombo N. 🟨,
41', Adrian Martinez 🟨,
45', Sosa I. 🟨,
45+7', Cortes B. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
62', Di Cesare M. 🟨,
64', Gularte E. 🟨,
65', Vergara D. ↓, Conechny T. ↑,
68', Silvera M. ↓, Arezo M. ↑,
68', Sosa I. ↓, Garcia Cardozo D. G. ↑,
71', Almendra A. E. 🟨,
73', Di Cesare M. ↓, Pardo F. ↑,
73', Almendra A. E. ↓, Zuculini B. ↑,
78', 1 - 0, David Terans ⚽, Arezo M. (A),
82', Gularte E. ↓, Suarez D. ↑,
82', Cabrera J. ↓, Umpierrez L. ↑,
82', Solari S. ↓, Torres E. ↑,
82', Colombo N. ↓, Rojo M. ↑,

Preview

1st leg.

Peñarol is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Racing's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Recently, Peñarol has had a series of home games.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

There will not play in Peñarol: Baez J. (Inactive)

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Peñarol de Montevideo
Uruguayan Primera Division
09.08.25	Peñarol de Montevideo - Nacional Montevideo	3:0 ✺
01.08.25	Peñarol de Montevideo - Progreso	2:1 ✺
06.07.25	Peñarol de Montevideo - Nacional Montevideo	1:0 penalties ✺
28.06.25	Peñarol de Montevideo - Cerro	2:0 ✺
22.06.25	Peñarol de Montevideo - Montevideo Wanderers	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.3 WWWWW
- Racing Club de Avellaneda
Argentinian Liga Profesional
09.08.25	Boca Juniors - Racing	1:1 ✺
Copa Argentina
03.08.25	Racing - Deportivo Riestra	3:0 ✺
Argentinian Liga Profesional
26.07.25	Racing - Estudiantes La Plata	0:1 ✺
20.07.25	Belgrano - Racing	0:1 ✺
12.07.25	Racing - Barracas Central	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 TWLWL

Upcoming Matches