The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Peñarol de Montevideo 56.8%
Draw 25.4%
Sporting Cristal 17.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
59.3%
24.7%
16%
Our Initial ML Estimation
73.4%
20%
12.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Peñarol de Montevideo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)
Sporting Cristal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Peñarol de Montevideo than the current prediction. (+16.6%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Peñarol de Montevideo, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sporting Cristal than the current prediction. (-4.9%)
Peñarol de Montevideo - Sporting Cristal Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Preview
2nd leg. 1st leg result: 3-1.
Peñarol in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
Recent matches Sporting Cristal is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
In this match Peñarol is a favorite.
Recent matches Sporting Cristal is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Last 4 head-to-head matches Peñarol won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 8-5.
Including matches at home between the teams Peñarol won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-3.