Match Info

PERU: Liga 1 - Clausura - Round 13

Date: 29 September 2024, Sunday

Location: Estadio Alberto Gallardo (Lima)

Referee: Espinoza J. (Per)

Where to Watch on TV:


Peru	L1 Max, L1 Play, Liga 1 Play
World	Fanatiz


	Sporting Cristal		Universidad César Vallejo

	1	X	2
	1.38	4.5	8.5	Watch
	1.34	4.4	7.5
	1.35	4.8	8.5
	1.35	4.88	8.46
	1.39	4.66	7.54	Watch
	1.3	4.8	8
	1.4	4.99	8	Watch
	1.34	4.75	8.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.36 ↑ (1.35)	4.72 ↓ (5.09)	8.11 ↓ (8.43)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sporting Cristal
68.8%

Draw
19.7%

Universidad César Vallejo
11.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

70.2%

18.6%

11.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

72.6%

18%

10.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sporting Cristal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

Universidad César Vallejo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sporting Cristal than the current prediction. (+3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Universidad César Vallejo than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Sporting Cristal - Universidad César Vallejo Predictions

Users Predictions: Sporting Cristal will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Enriquez D. (G) 47. Gonzales C. 21. Romero F. 5. Lutiger R. 8. Sosa L. 55. Cazonatti G. 30. Alarcon J. 28. Pasquini N. 7. Gonzalez S. 9. Cauteruccio M. 23. Castro M.	21. Carvallo J. (G) 32. Madrid J. 19. Ascues C. 5. Deneumostier A. 13. Barreto G. 8. Ysique F. 61. Bolivar J. 17. Mena Y. 18. Vasquez D. 93. Rodriguez A. 10. Velez J.
Substitutes
11. Avila I. 4. Chavez G. 13. Duarte A. (G) 39. Iberico L. 15. Lora J. 29. Posito Olazabal A. J. 6. Pretell Panta J. E. 25. Tavara M. 26. Wisdom I.	4. Amasifuen N. 88. Ballon J. 7. Barreto O. 33. Benitez E. 23. Da Silva P. 1. Grados C. (G) 20. Noronha O. 6. Perea G. 38. Perez D.
Coaches
Farre G.	Hernandez L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
7', 1 - 0, Cauteruccio M. ⚽, Gonzales C. (A),
27', Barreto G. 🟨,
30', 2 - 0, Cauteruccio M. ⚽, Sosa L. (A),
35', 2 - 1, Madrid J. ⚽, Velez J. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Bolivar J. ↓, Perez D. ↑,
46', Barreto G. ↓, Ballon J. ↑,
50', Perez D. 🟨,
53', Romero F. 🟨,
59', 3 - 1, Gonzalez S. ⚽, Castro M. (A),
60', Vasquez D. ↓, Benitez E. ↑,
65', Alarcon J. ↓, Tavara M. ↑,
77', Sosa L. ↓, Lora J. ↑,
77', Gonzales C. ↓, Wisdom I. ↑,
77', Mena Y. ↓, Noronha O. ↑,
81', Cazonatti G. ↓, Pretell Panta J. E. ↑,
81', Romero F. ↓, Posito Olazabal A. J. ↑,
83', Madrid J. ↓, Amasifuen N. ↑,
86', Rodriguez A. 🟨,
90+7', 4 - 1, Tavara M. (Pen),

Preview

This match will be played by one of a leader and an outsider (ranked 5 and 17).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Sporting Cristal won 1.

Sporting Cristal is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches César Vallejo is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Sporting Cristal is certain favorite.

Last 20 head-to-head matches Sporting Cristal won 8 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 36-27.

Including matches at home between the teams Sporting Cristal won 4 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 22-11.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sporting Cristal
Peruvian Liga 1
22.09.24	Cusco - Sporting Cristal	1:1 ✺
17.09.24	Sporting Cristal - Deportivo Garcilaso	1:0 ✺
14.09.24	Sport Huancayo - Sporting Cristal	1:2 ✺
25.08.24	Sporting Cristal - Cajamarca	4:0 ✺
21.08.24	FBC Melgar - Sporting Cristal	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 TWWWL
- Universidad César Vallejo
Peruvian Liga 1
22.09.24	Universidad César Vallejo - ADT Tarma	0:0 ✺
18.09.24	Comerciantes Unidos - Universidad César Vallejo	2:0 ✺
13.09.24	Universidad César Vallejo - Unión Comercio	1:0 ✺
24.08.24	Universitario de Deportes - Universidad César Vallejo	1:0 ✺
19.08.24	Universidad César Vallejo - Alianza Atlético	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 TLWLT

Latest Head to Head

Peruvian Liga 1
29.04.24	Universidad César Vallejo - Sporting Cristal	2:1
21.09.23	Universidad César Vallejo - Sporting Cristal	0:1
28.04.23	Sporting Cristal - Universidad César Vallejo	1:1
28.08.22	Sporting Cristal - Universidad César Vallejo	0:0
08.04.22	Universidad César Vallejo - Sporting Cristal	2:0
14.08.21	Sporting Cristal - Universidad César Vallejo	0:1
22.05.21	Universidad César Vallejo - Sporting Cristal	3:0

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