Match Info

Conference League - Qualification - 1/8-finals

Date: 17 July 2025, Thursday 🏁 Finished

Location: Cardiff International Sports Campus (Cardiff) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Rusz M. (Hun)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
United Kingdom	18:00	S4C Clic, S4C


	Pen-y-Bont		Kauno Žalgiris

	1	X	2
	4	3.5	1.8	Watch
	5	4	1.53
	4	3.6	1.8	Watch
	4.24	3.5	1.77
				Watch
	5	4.2	1.55
	4.91	3.68	1.77	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.53 ↑ (4.39)	3.75 ↓ (4.38)	1.7 ↑ (1.59)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pen-y-Bont
20.6%

Draw
24.8%

Kauno Žalgiris
54.6%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

21%

21.1%

58%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pen-y-Bont has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

Kauno Žalgiris has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
6.2%	18.7%	75%

Pen y Bont - Kauno Žalgiris Predictions

Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. Pen-y-Bont will win (votes: 1 - 6.3%). Kauno Žalgiris will win (votes: 12 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 18.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Kauno Žalgiris: 53.8% – 96.2%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Kauno Žalgiris (votes: 3 - 50%). Tie (votes: 3 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +1 - Pen-y-Bont (1.74) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Pen-y-Bont (votes: 1 - 14.3%). Kauno Žalgiris (votes: 3 - 42.9%). Tie (votes: 3 - 42.9%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Armstrong L. (G) 5. Woodiwiss J. 2. Ludvigsen K. 4. Kircough G. 18. Jones J. 21. Baker A. 11. Daley N. 8. Pritchard O. 29. Green C. (C) 7. Wood N. D. 10. Crole J.	22. Mikelionis D. (G) 21. Bah-Traore H. 3. Tolordava A. 23. Hernandez A. 37. Iyobosa Edokpolor N. 10. Sirgedas G. 6. Pavlovic D. 9. Chogadze T. 28. Burdzilauskas E. 11. Cernych F. (C) 19. Jansonas R.
Substitutes
20. Best A. (G) 16. Borge B. 15. Clay J. 33. Cvetkovic A. 30. Little M. 3. Owen K. 14. Phillips I. 35. Price J. (G) 9. Venables C. 17. Warlow O.	8. Armanavicius V. 7. Benchaib A. 2. Burdzilauskas T. 66. Jurjonas E. 5. Kerkez D. 20. Lekiatas R. 35. Miksiunas J. (G) 14. Naah D. 70. Ourega F. 79. Paulauskas V. 55. Svedkauskas T. (G) 30. Vosylius N.
Coaches
Griffiths R.	Cerniauskas E.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
13', 0 - 1, Hernandez A. ⚽, Sirgedas G. (A),
17', 1 - 1, Wood N. D. ⚽,
19', Crole J. 🟨,
19', Cernych F. 🟨,
35', Pritchard O. 🟨,
45+4', Warlow O. 🟥,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Pavlovic D. ↓, Naah D. ↑,
48', Green C. 🟨,
57', Jones J. ↓, Owen K. ↑,
57', Wood N. D. ↓, Venables C. ↑,
59', Owen K. 🟨,
63', Ludvigsen K. ↓, Little M. ↑,
64', Little M. 🟨,
74', Woodiwiss J. ↓, Borge B. ↑,
74', Green C. ↓, Clay J. ↑,
76', Cernych F. ↓, Armanavicius V. ↑,
82', Sirgedas G. ↓, Paulauskas V. ↑,
82', Chogadze T. ↓, Vosylius N. ↑,
87', Venables C. 🟨,
88', Jansonas R. ↓, Kerkez D. ↑,

Preview

1st leg result: 0-3. 2nd leg. Playing home matches at a different stadium - Cardiff International Sports Campus.

Kauno Žalgiris is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Kauno Žalgiris may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Kauno Žalgiris is a strong favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Pen-y-Bont won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pen-y-Bont FC
UEFA Europa Conference League
10.07.25	Kauno Žalgiris - Pen-y-Bont	3:0 ✺
Club Friendly
02.07.25	Pen-y-Bont - Merthyr Town	3:0 ✺
28.06.25	Airdrieonians - Pen-y-Bont	1:2 ✺
21.06.25	Pen-y-Bont - Afan Lido	7:0 ✺
Welsh Cymru Premier
19.04.25	Bala Town - Pen-y-Bont	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 LWWWL
- FK Kauno Žalgiris
UEFA Europa Conference League
10.07.25	Kauno Žalgiris - Pen-y-Bont	3:0 ✺
Lithuanian TOPLYGA
05.07.25	Riteriai - Kauno Žalgiris	1:5 ✺
30.06.25	Banga Gargždai - Kauno Žalgiris	0:2 ✺
24.06.25	Kauno Žalgiris - Panevėžys	3:0 ✺
19.06.25	Hegelmann Litauen - Kauno Žalgiris	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Europa Conference League
10.07.25	Kauno Žalgiris - Pen-y-Bont	3:0

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