Match Info

Liga Portugal 2 - Round 7

Date: 9 October 2026, Friday

Location: Estadio Municipal 25 de Abril (Penafiel)

Referee: Rodrigues J. (Por)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	ZAP
Portugal	Sport TV+


	Penafiel		AVS

	1	X	2
	1.85	3.2	4.1
	1.87	3.10	3.75
	1.92	3.2	3.9
	2.01	3.38	4.4
	1.89	3.37	4.2	Watch
	1.87	3.3	4.3
	1.9	3.28	4.02
	1.91	3.2	3.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.9 ↑ (1.86)	3.25 ↓ (3.31)	4.07 ↓ (4.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Penafiel
48.7%

Draw
28.5%

AVS
22.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.1%

28.1%

21.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.6%

26.8%

20.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Penafiel has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

AVS has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Penafiel than the current prediction. (+3.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for AVS than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

Penafiel - AVS Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Oliveira Miguel (C) 5. Sanchez J. 6. Pica A. 2. lano Imbene 27. Negrao G. 21. Pedro Sa 8. Carbonell A. 7. Douglas Borel 17. Pinto J. 9. Svensson M. 10. Davo	1. Rebollo D. (G) 97. Mateus Pivo 3. Rosic L. 26. Conde B. 12. Rivas D. 70. Roni (C) 88. Almeida F. 80. Hiago Santos 19. Rafael Lobato 9. Rodrigo Pinho 30. Talles Wander
Substitutes
11. Garrido J. 99. Mendes C. 14. Mere J. 4. Miguel J. 3. Moreira C. 23. Oliveira D. 38. Oliveira M. 13. Puerto E. (G) 64. Sampaio T. 33. Schutte R. 79. Teixeira T. 50. Varela F.	22. Brasido D. 4. Davi Schuindt 8. Meireles J. 17. Ndo R. 7. Neiva G. 49. Pimentel P. 6. Ponck 25. Raul Steffens (G) 28. Sousa A.
Coaches
Aira J.	Fonseca S.

Preview

An upper-table contender faces a competitive test against mid-table opposition (ranked 2nd in the Promotion - Liga Portugal and 12th).

Penafiel is currently on a high with consecutive positive results (last 5 matches: 4 wins).

AVS has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Penafiel may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

Penafiel carries the favorite tag into this contest.

In the last 2 head-to-head meetings, Penafiel has recorded 0 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 0:2 (averaging 0:1 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Penafiel against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with 0:1 goals.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Penafiel	6	4	1	1	13:5	8	13
12	AFS	6	1	3	2	6:6	0	6

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Penafiel
Club Friendly
25.09.26	Penafiel - Deportivo A Coruña	2:2 ✺
Taça de Portugal
19.09.26	Oliveirense - Penafiel	1:2 ✺
Portuguese Liga 2
12.09.26	Felgueiras - Penafiel	1:2 ✺
05.09.26	Penafiel - Académica Coimbra	4:1 ✺
30.08.26	Porto B - Penafiel	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.7 TWWWW
- AVS Futebol SAD
Taça de Portugal
20.09.26	Sintrense - AVS	0:2 ✺
Portuguese Liga 2
13.09.26	AVS - Farense	0:0 ✺
07.09.26	Lusitânia - AVS	2:1 ✺
30.08.26	AVS - Feirense	2:0 ✺
23.08.26	Chaves - AVS	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 WTLWT

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Liga 2
03.03.24	Penafiel - AVS	0:1
09.10.23	AVS - Penafiel	1:0

Penafiel - AVS: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide