Match Info

Club Friendly

Date: 25 September 2026, Friday


	Penafiel		Deportivo A Coruña

	1	X	2
	3.75	3.70	1.72
	3.25	3.60	1.88
	3.95	3.78	1.69
	3.58	3.93	1.81
	3.60	3.70	1.62
	3.99	4.09	1.70
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.69 ↑ (2.93)	3.8 ↓ (4.07)	1.74 ↓ (2.28)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Penafiel
24.4%

Draw
23.7%

Deportivo A Coruña
51.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.3%

24%

42.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.8%

25.1%

44.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Penafiel has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Penafiel's form might have worsened.

Deportivo A Coruña has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Deportivo A Coruña's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Penafiel than the current prediction. (+7.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Penafiel, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo A Coruña than the current prediction. (-7.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Deportivo A Coruña, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	33.3%	66.7%

Penafiel - Deportivo A Coruña Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Deportivo will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Puerto E. (G) 10. Davo 7. Douglas Borel 99. Mendes C. 14. Mere J. 4. Miguel J. 27. Negrao G. 18. Nifanso K. 17. Pinto J. 64. Sampaio T. 50. Varela F.	25. Fernandez A. (G) 2. Altimira A. 17. Angelino 18. Asp J. 3. Comas A. 10. Hernandez Y. 39. Iglesias F. 15. Loureiro M. 33. Sanchez K. 24. Traore A. 8. Villares D.
Substitutes
85. Augusto C. 8. Carbonell A. 11. Fuentes J. 55. Lopes T. 84. Marcio O. 29. Nuninho 38. Oliveira M. 1. Oliveira Miguel (G) 21. Pedro Sa 6. Pica A. 12. Rojas A. (G) 33. Schutte R. 9. Svensson M.	38. Altieri de Leon L. 5. Barcia D. 19. Cruz Luismi 40. Mauro 11. Mella D. 23. Navarro X. 1. Parreno G. (G) 12. Quagliata G. 14. Rodriguez R. 13. Roman L. (G) 21. Soriano M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
9', 1 - 0, ⚽,
27', 1 - 1, Sanchez K. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
49', 2 - 1, ⚽,
55', 2 - 2, Sanchez K. ⚽,

Preview

Penafiel arrives with excellent momentum after picking up several victories (last 5 matches: 5 wins).

Deportivo has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Penafiel could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.

These two teams have no recorded direct encounters in recent history.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Penafiel
Taça de Portugal
19.09.26	Oliveirense - Penafiel	1:2 ✺
Portuguese Liga 2
12.09.26	Felgueiras - Penafiel	1:2 ✺
05.09.26	Penafiel - Académica Coimbra	4:1 ✺
30.08.26	Porto B - Penafiel	0:3 ✺
23.08.26	Penafiel - Sporting Lisbon B	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.9 WWWWW
- Deportivo A Coruña
Spanish LaLiga
20.09.26	Deportivo A Coruña - Betis	1:1 ✺
16.09.26	Deportivo A Coruña - Sevilla	0:1 ✺
13.09.26	Getafe - Deportivo A Coruña	1:1 ✺
05.09.26	Villarreal - Deportivo A Coruña	2:3 ✺
30.08.26	Deportivo A Coruña - Valencia	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 27.6 TLTWW

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