The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Portimonense 36.6%
Draw 28.2%
Chaves 35.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
31.4%
29.6%
39%
Our Initial ML Estimation
32%
29%
38.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Portimonense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Portimonense's performance.
Chaves has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Portimonense than the current prediction. (-4.6%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chaves than the current prediction. (+3.2%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
62.5%
12.5%
25%
Portimonense - Chaves Predictions
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Portimonense will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%). Chaves will win (votes: 2 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%). Confidence interval (95%) for Portimonense: 29% – 96%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
26. Maycon Cleiton (G) 31. Edney 37. Mateus Sarara 32. Jarleysom 17. Joao Reis (C) 8. Lobato S. 47. Cagro W. 87. Pancadas Casimiro J. D. 16. Thauan Lara 93. Welinton Junior 21. Dauda M.
1. Vozinha (G) 15. Carraca (C) 4. Bruno Rodrigues 33. Simoes T. 3. Romero A. 8. Pinho P. 20. Ktatau 77. Reinaldo 10. Rodrigues A. 30. Kusso D. 17. Roberto
Substitutes
90. Canario F. 77. Cibois S. (G) 22. De Bolle L. 7. Djassi D. 19. Dju M. 5. Heitor 73. Junior M. 18. Mamede 6. Neves S.
6. Eboudje B. 27. Esajas R. 23. Gudzulic M. (G) 5. Kiko 22. Muscat Z. 18. Pereira H. 26. Rodrigues G. 29. Tounkara M. 21. Wellington Carvalho
Coaches
Fernandes T.
Martins V.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 2)
7', 1 - 0, Ktatau (Own goal),
11', 1 - 1, Kusso D. ⚽, Rodrigues A. (A),
22', 2 - 1, Joao Reis ⚽, Mateus Sarara (A),
25', 2 - 2, Simoes T. ⚽, Carraca (A),
38', Rodrigues A. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
68', Kusso D. ↓, Esajas R. ↑,
68', Dauda M. ↓, Djassi D. ↑,
76', Cagro W. ↓, Mamede ↑,
76', Thauan Lara ↓, Heitor ↑,
78', Ktatau ↓, Tounkara M. ↑,
78', Rodrigues A. ↓, Rodrigues G. ↑,
81', Bruno Rodrigues 🟨,
86', Lobato S. ↓, Canario F. ↑,
88', Roberto ↓, Pereira H. ↑,
88', Reinaldo ↓, Wellington Carvalho ↑,
90+3', Heitor 🟨,
90+4', 3 - 2, Pancadas Casimiro J. D. ⚽,
90+5', Pancadas Casimiro J. D. 🟨,
Preview
The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Liga 3 and 11).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Portimonense won 3.
Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
Chaves may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Portimonense won 8 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 25:26. (average 1.4:1.4).
Including home matches between the teams, Portimonense won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 14:10. (average 1.6:1.1).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
11
Portimonense
6
2
1
3
4:6
-2
7
16
Chaves
6
1
1
4
5:13
-8
4
Last Results with these Odds
Portimonense - the odds 2.94 are the expected chance of winning is 31.37%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.
Portugal
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Maycon Cleiton (G) 
Joao Reis (C) 
Cagro W. 
Dauda M. 
Vozinha (G) 
Romero A. 
Kusso D. 
Cibois S. (G) 
De Bolle L. 
Djassi D. 
Eboudje B. 
Esajas R. 
Gudzulic M. (G) 
Muscat Z. 
Tounkara M. 
