Match Info

Date: 23 October 2021, Saturday


	Penafiel		Rio Ave

	1	X	2
	3.6	3.1	2	Watch
	3.3	3.2	2.1
	3.15	3.15	2.15
	3.55	3.1	2.1
	3.76	3.36	2.13
	3.5	3.1	2.1
	3.48	3.28	2.07
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.48 ↓ (3.94)	3.18 ↓ (3.3)	2.09 ↑ (1.97)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Penafiel
26.6%

Draw
29.1%

Rio Ave
44.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23.9%

28.5%

47.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.4%

18.2%

30.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Penafiel has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

Rio Ave has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Penafiel than the current prediction. (+10.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Penafiel, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rio Ave than the current prediction. (-13.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Rio Ave, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Penafiel - Rio Ave Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

The most interesting match of the day. Two teams from the very top of the board will meet (ranked 6 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Portugal).

Recent matches Penafiel is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Rio Ave is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recently Penafiel have a series of guest games.

Rio Ave will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Penafiel won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Penafiel won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Penafiel
Taça de Portugal
17.10.21	SB Castelo Branco - Penafiel	1:2 ✺
Portuguese Liga 2
10.10.21	Chaves - Penafiel	3:1 ✺
03.10.21	Penafiel - Mafra	2:1 ✺
Taça de Portugal
26.09.21	Maria da Fonte - Penafiel	0:1 ✺
Portuguese League Cup
22.09.21	Famalicão - Penafiel	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 WLWWL
- Rio Ave FC
Taça de Portugal
17.10.21	Rio Ave - Boavista	4:0 ✺
Portuguese Liga 2
10.10.21	Rio Ave - Vilafranquense	2:1 ✺
03.10.21	Porto B - Rio Ave	1:1 ✺
Taça de Portugal
26.09.21	Vitória de Sernache - Rio Ave	1:3 ✺
Portuguese League Cup
22.09.21	Rio Ave - Santa Clara	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 WWTWT

Latest Head to Head

Liga Portugal
15.03.15	Penafiel - Rio Ave	0:2
27.10.14	Rio Ave - Penafiel	3:2

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