Match Info

Liga Portugal - Round 28

Date: 7 April 2025, Monday

Location: Estádio da Capital do Móvel (Paços de Ferreira)

Referee: Pereira C. (Por)

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	Veikkaus TV
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 3
Portugal	Sport TV3
Romania	AntenaPLAY
Serbia	Arena Sport 6


	Rio Ave		Boavista

	1	X	2
	1.9	3.4	4.2	Watch
	1.83	3.4	4.2
	1.95	3.4	4	Watch
	1.85	3.53	4.41	Watch
	1.8	3.25	4.2	Watch
	1.88	3.54	4.2	Watch
	1.95	3.4	4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.88 ↑ (1.84)	3.42 ↑ (3.4)	4.17 ↓ (4.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rio Ave
50%

Draw
27.5%

Boavista
22.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.5%

27.3%

22.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.7%

26.2%

21.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rio Ave has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

Boavista has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rio Ave than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Boavista than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
91.1%	6.7%	2.2%

Rio Ave - Boavista Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.25 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Boavista (1.96) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .

O/U 3.5 - under (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Rio Ave will win (40 of 43 users predict this - 93.02%).
Confidence interval (95%): 85.4% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Rio Ave will win (21 of 22 users predict this - 95.45%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 23 Selected Experts predict this event. Rio Ave (votes: 21 - 91.3%). Boavista (votes: 2 - 8.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Miszta C. (C) 20. Tome J. 3. Ntoi A. 2. Panzo J. 98. Richards O. 16. Aguilera Zamora B. 34. Tiknaz D. E. 11. Morais T. 80. Pohlmann O. 7. Andre Luiz 9. Clayton	31. Vaclik T. (G) 26. Abascal R. 5. Lystsov V. 13. Fogning S. 7. Agra S. 24. Perez S. (C) 18. Vukotic I. 3. Kurzawa L. 21. Diaby A. 9. Bozenik R. 16. Silva J.
Substitutes
4. Abbey N. 29. Bakoulas T. 21. Graca J. 27. Medina T. 76. Neto M. 6. Novais J. 95. Teixeira M. (G) 17. Vrousai M. 14. Zoabi K.	11. Ariyibi G. 2. Camara I. 1. Cesar (G) 20. Ferreira F. 15. Gomes P. 27. Kakay O. 14. Kone M. 10. Reisinho M. 8. van Ginkel M.
Coaches
Petit	Paiva R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
17', 0 - 1, Panzo J. (Own goal),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Silva J. ↓, Reisinho M. ↑,
49', Tiknaz D. E. 🟨,
52', Agra S. 🟨,
62', Pohlmann O. ↓, Zoabi K. ↑,
65', Perez S. ↓, Camara I. ↑,
65', Kurzawa L. ↓, Ferreira F. ↑,
72', Morais T. ↓, Novais J. ↑,
72', Tiknaz D. E. ↓, Graca J. ↑,
72', Tome J. ↓, Vrousai M. ↑,
75', 0 - 2, Vukotic I. ⚽,
84', Clayton 🟨,
84', Vaclik T. 🟨,
86', Graca J. 🟨,
88', Aguilera Zamora B. ↓, Bakoulas T. ↑,
90+3', Agra S. ↓, Kakay O. ↑,
90+6', Diaby A. ↓, Ariyibi G. ↑,

Preview

Neutral location - Estádio da Capital do Móvel.

In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 12 and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Liga Portugal 2).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Rio Ave won 3.

Both teams are in bad shape now.

Rio Ave could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Rio Ave is a favorite.

There will not play in Boavista: Joao Goncalves (Knee Injury) Moraes Pires L. H. (Knee Injury) Ribeiro M. (Knee Injury) Silva T. (Injury) Vitoria S. (Red Card)

There are questionable in Boavista: Dabo A. (Inactive) Ferreira F. (Knee Injury)

Last 7 head-to-head matches Rio Ave won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 14:6 (average 2:0.9).

Including matches at home between the teams Rio Ave won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 7:0 (average 2.3:0).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rio Ave FC
Taça de Portugal
03.04.25	Sporting Lisbon - Rio Ave	2:0 ✺
Liga Portugal
29.03.25	Casa Pia - Rio Ave	2:1 ✺
16.03.25	Rio Ave - Benfica	2:3 ✺
10.03.25	Famalicão - Rio Ave	1:0 ✺
02.03.25	Rio Ave - Braga	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 LLLLW
- Boavista FC
Liga Portugal
01.04.25	Boavista - Gil Vicente	1:3 ✺
16.03.25	Moreirense - Boavista	1:0 ✺
09.03.25	Boavista - Vitoria Guimarães	1:2 ✺
02.03.25	Boavista - Santa Clara	1:0 ✺
22.02.25	Benfica - Boavista	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 LLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Liga Portugal
09.11.24	Boavista - Rio Ave	0:2
30.03.24	Boavista - Rio Ave	0:0
05.11.23	Rio Ave - Boavista	2:0
22.04.23	Boavista - Rio Ave	3:2
06.11.22	Rio Ave - Boavista	1:0
Taça de Portugal
17.10.21	Rio Ave - Boavista	4:0
Liga Portugal
10.04.21	Boavista - Rio Ave	3:3

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