Match Info

1. Lig - Round 37

Date: 4 May 2025, Sunday

Location: Pendik Stadyumu (Istanbul)

Referee: Turtay O. (Tur)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	TOD
Turkey	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1 MAX, Tabii, TRT Spor


	Pendikspor		Fatih Karagümrükspor

	1	X	2
	2.88	3.4	2.2	Watch
	3.1	3.4	2
	2.75	3.75	2.25
	2.81	3.81	2.31
	2.78	3.69	2.3	Watch
	3.1	3.3	2.1
	2.95	3.49	2.26	Watch
	2.75	3.75	2.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.89 ↓ (2.95)	3.57 ↑ (3.32)	2.21 ↓ (2.35)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pendikspor
32.1%

Draw
25.9%

Fatih Karagümrükspor
42%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.8%

28.2%

40%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.3%

27.8%

40.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pendikspor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

Fatih Karagümrükspor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pendikspor than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fatih Karagümrükspor than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
16.7%	0%	83.3%

Pendikspor - Fatih Karagümrükspor Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Pendikspor will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Karagümrük will win (votes: 5 - 83.3%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Karagümrük (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Koyuncu E. (G) 15. Kitsiou S. 27. Akca M. 33. Ozturk A. 6. Sequeira 41. Ozdemir M. 98. Topalli J. 11. Denic D. 28. Del Valle Y. 90. Eze E. 60. Karadeniz B.	1. Bilgin E. (G) 23. Ulvan T. 4. Demir Y. E. 3. Djilobodji P. 33. Kurukalip C. 20. Mert M. 14. Doh M. 7. Camacho J. 10. Dovedan N. 70. Serginho 9. Wesley Moraes
Substitutes
17. Asatekin S. 1. Canpolat E. (G) 7. Demir M. 66. Dogan F. 99. Kosar A. 76. Pekdemir E. 22. Pektemek M. 14. Sayhan E. 5. Sulungoz B. 81. Tekdal T.	97. Akyuz F. (G) 6. Dabanli B. 90. Demiroglu B. 5. Demirol A. 15. Dursun S. 91. Gray A. 19. Gurpuz G. 11. Johnson D. 72. Kalayci B. 22. Tintis E.
Coaches
Ucar U.	Korkmaz O.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
10', Serginho ↓, Gurpuz G. ↑,
19', 1 - 0, Eze E. ⚽, Denic D. (A),
29', 2 - 0, Sequeira ⚽, Karadeniz B. (A),
32', Mert M. ↓, Johnson D. ↑,
45+4', Kurukalip C. 🟨,
45+4', Karadeniz B. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
52', Sequeira 🟨,
58', Sequeira ↓, Dogan F. ↑,
67', Camacho J. ↓, Gray A. ↑,
67', Dovedan N. ↓, Kalayci B. ↑,
72', Del Valle Y. ↓, Demir M. ↑,
77', Denic D. 🟨,
82', Karadeniz B. ↓, Sulungoz B. ↑,
82', Topalli J. ↓, Pektemek M. ↑,
90+6', Gray A. 🟨,
90+6', Demir M. 🟨,

Preview

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 15 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Super Lig).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Pendikspor won 2.

Pendikspor is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

In recent matches, Karagümrük has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Karagümrük will hold a modest advantage in this match.

There will not play in Karagümrük: Cankaya A. R. (Yellow Cards) Ersoy O. (Inactive)

In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Pendikspor won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 11:15. (average 1:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Pendikspor won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:4. (average 1.2:0.8).

Last Results with these Odds

Fatih Karagümrükspor - the odds 2.35 are the expected chance of winning is 39.95%, but this team recently wins 88% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pendikspor
Turkish First League
27.04.25	İstanbulspor - Pendikspor	5:2 ✺
19.04.25	Pendikspor - Şanlıurfaspor	0:2 ✺
13.04.25	Sakaryaspor - Pendikspor	1:0 ✺
09.04.25	Pendikspor - Ankaragücü	2:1 ✺
06.04.25	Umraniyespor - Pendikspor	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 LLLWT
- Fatih Karagümrükspor
Turkish First League
27.04.25	Fatih Karagümrükspor - Keçiörengücü	1:0 ✺
19.04.25	Boluspor - Fatih Karagümrükspor	1:0 ✺
13.04.25	Fatih Karagümrükspor - Gençlerbirliği	0:0 ✺
09.04.25	Erokspor - Fatih Karagümrükspor	2:1 ✺
05.04.25	Fatih Karagümrükspor - Erzurumspor	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 WLTLW

Latest Head to Head

Turkish First League
04.01.25	Fatih Karagümrükspor - Pendikspor	0:2
Turkish Super League
10.02.24	Fatih Karagümrükspor - Pendikspor	2:0
23.09.23	Pendikspor - Fatih Karagümrükspor	1:1
Turkish Second League Red Group
24.03.19	Pendikspor - Fatih Karagümrükspor	2:0
04.11.18	Fatih Karagümrükspor - Pendikspor	4:1
Turkish Second League White Group
05.05.18	Fatih Karagümrükspor - Pendikspor	0:0
16.12.17	Pendikspor - Fatih Karagümrükspor	0:1

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