Match Info

Cymru North - Round 30

Date: 18 April 2026, Saturday


	Penrhyncoch		Rhyl

	1	X	2
	2.2	3.3	2.82
	2.22	3.61	2.75
	2.35	3.64	2.71	Watch
	2.2	3.3	2.7
	2.24	3.95	2.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.24 ↑ (2.19)	3.56 ↑ (3.48)	2.74 ↓ (2.83)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Penrhyncoch
40.8%

Draw
25.7%

Rhyl
33.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.6%

26.2%

32.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.3%

25.2%

30.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Penrhyncoch has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

Rhyl has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Penrhyncoch than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rhyl than the current prediction. (-2.6%)

Penrhyncoch - Rhyl Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
2', Lightfoot B. (Penalty Awarded),
12', Ali M. 🟥,
45+2', 1 - 0, Duggan I. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
49', 2 - 0, Owen D. ⚽,
64', 3 - 0, Jenkins R. ⚽,

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 12 and 4).

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Rhyl may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Penrhyncoch won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 2:7. (average 0.7:2.3).

Including home match between the teams, Penrhyncoch won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
11	Rhyl	9	2	3	4	17:19	-2	9
16	Penrhyncoch	10	0	1	9	4:30	-26	1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Penrhyncoch FC
Welsh Cymru North
11.04.26	Penrhyncoch - Gresford Athletic	4:1 ✺
06.04.26	Caersws - Penrhyncoch	1:2 ✺
03.04.26	Denbigh Town - Penrhyncoch	1:0 ✺
28.03.26	Penrhyncoch - Holywell Town	0:1 ✺
21.03.26	Flint Mountain - Penrhyncoch	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.5 WWLLW
- CPD Y Rhyl 1879
Welsh Cymru North
07.04.26	Rhyl - Gresford Athletic	1:0 ✺
03.04.26	Rhyl - Guilsfield	1:2 ✺
24.03.26	Newtown - Rhyl	6:1 ✺
21.03.26	Caersws - Rhyl	1:0 ✺
17.03.26	Brickfield Rangers - Rhyl	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 WLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Welsh Cymru North
01.11.25	Rhyl - Penrhyncoch	3:1
Welsh Cymru Alliance
11.01.19	Penrhyncoch - Rhyl	0:1
24.08.18	Rhyl - Penrhyncoch	3:1

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