Match Info

ITALY: Serie C - Group A - Round 24

Date: 25 January 2025, Saturday

Location: Stadio comunale (Caravaggio)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	NOW TV, Sky Sport 253


	Atalanta U23		Lumezzane

	1	X	2
	1.6	3.7	4.5
	1.66	3.85	5.53
	1.68	3.62	5.18	Watch
	1.62	3.75	4.6
	1.59	3.84	4.77	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.63 ↓ (1.66)	3.75 ↑ (3.61)	4.92 ↑ (4.44)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Atalanta U23
56.6%

Draw
24.6%

Lumezzane
18.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.5%

25.1%

20.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.9%

23.6%

19.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atalanta U23 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

Lumezzane has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atalanta U23 than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lumezzane than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
55.6%	22.2%	22.2%

Atalanta U23 - Lumezzane Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Atalanta U23 will win (votes: 5 - 55.6%). Lumezzane will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Atalanta U23: 23.1% – 88.1%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Pardel P. (G) 3. Del Lungo T. 37. Navarro A. 15. Obric R. 10. Panada S. 8. Gyabuaa M. (C) 5. Kraja E. 33. Bernasconi L. 31. Cassa F. 34. Artesani N. 99. Vlahovic V.	1. Filigheddu S. (G) 25. Pagliari M. 21. Dalmazzi A. 6. Pogliano C. 7. Moscati M. 28. Scanzi M. 5. Taugourdeau A. 11. Tenkorang J. 32. Iori M. 45. Monachello G. 92. Baldini E.
Substitutes
26. Alessio F. 30. Bertini T. (G) 4. Berto G. 77. Dajcar M. (G) 14. Ghislandi D. 61. Idele J. 82. Lonardo E. 32. Mencaraglia F. 7. Muhameti E. 51. Peli L.	73. Arici A. . Corti N. 19. D'Agostino S. 2. Deratti J. 31. Ferro M. 77. Pannitteri O. 24. Piga M. 53. Pittino T. 66. Regazzetti S. 94. Toniolo G. (G) 30. Tremolada M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
16', 0 - 1, Tenkorang J. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
58', Baldini E. ↓, Ferro M. ↑,
64', Artesani N. ↓, Alessio F. ↑,
65', Dalmazzi A. 🟨,
68', Monachello G. ↓, Corti N. ↑,
76', Kraja E. ↓, Ghislandi D. ↑,
81', Pagliari M. 🟨,
84', Iori M. ↓, Pittino T. ↑,
84', Tenkorang J. ↓, D'Agostino S. ↑,
90', Gyabuaa M. 🟨,
90+1', Del Lungo T. ↓, Peli L. ↑,

Preview

During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/16~finals) and 10 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/32~finals)).

Atalanta U23 is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Lumezzane is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Atalanta U23 is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Atalanta U23 to win the game is with odds 1.66.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Atalanta U23 won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 6:6 (average 1.5:1.5).

Including matches at home between the teams Atalanta U23 won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1:0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atalanta U23
Italian Serie C Group A
18.01.25	Atalanta U23 - Triestina	3:1 ✺
11.01.25	Trento - Atalanta U23	2:2 ✺
04.01.25	Atalanta U23 - Novara	0:0 ✺
20.12.24	Alcione - Atalanta U23	0:1 ✺
14.12.24	Atalanta U23 - Lecco	5:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 WTTWW
- FC Lumezzane
Italian Serie C Group A
19.01.25	Lumezzane - Union Clodiense	0:2 ✺
11.01.25	Lumezzane - Lecco	4:0 ✺
06.01.25	Pro Vercelli - Lumezzane	3:3 ✺
21.12.24	Lumezzane - Virtus Verona	0:3 ✺
14.12.24	Padova - Lumezzane	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 LWTLL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group A
22.09.24	Lumezzane - Atalanta U23	2:1
05.03.24	Atalanta U23 - Lumezzane	1:0
28.10.23	Lumezzane - Atalanta U23	1:2
Coppa Italia Serie C
04.10.23	Lumezzane - Atalanta U23	3:2 penalties

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