Match Info

Serie C - Group A - Round 38

Date: 25 April 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Giuseppe Voltini (Crema) 🌤️ ...

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Italy	20:30	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia


	Pergolettese		Lecco

	1	X	2
				Watch
	6.9	4.05	1.43
	7.33	4.41	1.41
	5.62	4.27	1.48	Watch
	5.75	3.8	1.44
	7.27	3.94	1.48	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.57 ↑ (6)	4.09 ↑ (3.62)	1.45 ↓ (1.56)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pergolettese
14%

Draw
22.5%

Lecco
63.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

15.3%

25.5%

59.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

14.9%

24.8%

60.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pergolettese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

Lecco has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pergolettese than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lecco than the current prediction. (-2.7%)

Pergolettese - Lecco Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Doldi F. (G) 5. Milesi L. 26. Bane A. 3. Antolini J. 76. Roversi L. 21. Careccia S. 80. Jaouhari Z. 4. Arini M. 23. Meconi E. 10. Ferrandino D. 11. Corti N.	1. Furlan J. (G) 45. Rizzo M. 13. Battistini M. (C) 16. Ferrini M. 11. Urso O. 97. Duca E. 14. Bonaiti S. 17. Pellegrino G. 5. Zanellato N. 51. Konate I. 99. Parker S.
Substitutes
33. Capoferri M. 2. Catena E. M. 1. Cordaro L. (G) 12. Finardi E. (G) 14. Lambrughi A. 70. Orlandi A. 72. Padalino A. 77. Pessolani G. 9. Petrovic T. 99. Rossetti M. 20. Tremolada M.	78. Anastasini J. 27. Basili D. . Cosi L. 22. Dalmasso J. (G) 10. Furrer G. 33. Lovisa N. 6. Mallamo A. 21. Metlika A. 20. Mihali L. 73. Nova E. 18. Tanco G. J. 8. Voltan D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
11', 1 - 0, Corti N. ⚽,
21', Jaouhari Z. 🟨,
23', Bonaiti S. (Penalty Awarded),
45+1', 2 - 0, Ferrandino D. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Rizzo M. ↓, Mihali L. ↑,
46', Bonaiti S. ↓, Voltan D. ↑,
46', Pellegrino G. ↓, Furrer G. ↑,
63', Furrer G. ↓, Anastasini J. ↑,
65', 3 - 0, Roversi L. ⚽,
68', Jaouhari Z. ↓, Tremolada M. ↑,
68', Corti N. ↓, Rossetti M. ↑,
69', Ferrini M. ↓, Nova E. ↑,
74', Ferrandino D. ↓, Orlandi A. ↑,
74', Meconi E. ↓, Pessolani G. ↑,
83', Antolini J. ↓, Lambrughi A. ↑,
84', Bane A. 🟨,

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 17 in the zone Serie C ~ Play Out and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/8~finals)).

Pergolettese is Serie C ~ Play Out

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Pergolettese won 1.

Pergolettese has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Lecco is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Lecco may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Lecco is a strong favorite.

In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Pergolettese won 2 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 14:22. (average 1:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Pergolettese won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 11:9. (average 1.6:1.3).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Pergolettese	11	4	5	2	10:9	1	17
9	Lecco	11	3	5	3	14:11	3	14

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- US Pergolettese
Italian Serie C Group A
19.04.26	Vicenza Virtus - Pergolettese	0:0 ✺
11.04.26	Pergolettese - Virtus Verona	2:2 ✺
06.04.26	AlbinoLeffe - Pergolettese	3:0 ✺
28.03.26	Pergolettese - Pro Patria	2:1 ✺
21.03.26	Giana Erminio - Pergolettese	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.4 TTLWL
- Calcio Lecco 1912
Italian Serie C Group A
19.04.26	Lecco - Lumezzane	2:2 ✺
10.04.26	Alcione - Lecco	0:2 ✺
03.04.26	Lecco - Vicenza Virtus	2:0 ✺
29.03.26	Cittadella - Lecco	2:1 ✺
22.03.26	Pro Patria - Lecco	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.5 TWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group A
21.12.25	Lecco - Pergolettese	1:0
01.03.25	Pergolettese - Lecco	0:0
20.10.24	Lecco - Pergolettese	1:0
08.01.23	Pergolettese - Lecco	4:2
10.09.22	Lecco - Pergolettese	2:0
06.03.22	Lecco - Pergolettese	3:0
24.10.21	Pergolettese - Lecco	1:0

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