Match Info

ITALY: SERIE C - GROUP A - ROUND 28

Date: 25 February 2024, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	Sky Sport


	Novara		Mantova

	1	X	2
				Watch
	3.9	3.2	1.8
	4.2	3.4	1.83
	3.97	3.2	1.85
	4.37	3.43	1.86
	4.2	3.3	1.75
	4.27	3.34	1.78
	3.95	3.3	1.84
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.12 ↓ (4.24)	3.31 ↓ (3.5)	1.82 ↑ (1.71)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Novara
22.1%

Draw
27.6%

Mantova
50.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

21.3%

25.8%

52.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.1%

25.6%

53.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Novara has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

Mantova has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Novara than the current prediction. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mantova than the current prediction. (+3%)

Novara - Mantova Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
94. Minelli S. (G) 6. Bertoncini D. 79. Lancini E. 35. Lorenzini F. 17. Kerrigan L. 21. Ranieri R. (C) 8. Di Munno A. 3. Urso O. 10. Donadio C. 18. Bentivegna A. 11. Corti N.	1. Festa M. (G) 17. Radaelli N. 13. Brignani F. 5. Redolfi A. 4. Celesia C. 8. Burrai S. 21. Trimboli S. 28. Muroni M. 30. Bragantini D. 11. Fiori A. 7. Mensah D.
Substitutes
26. Boccia S. 28. Cannavaro A. 32. Caradonna L. 29. Caravaca T. 31. Desjardins A. (G) 22. Menegaldo T. (G) 30. Migliardi F. 42. Ngamba A. 13. Ongaro E. 9. Scappini S. 14. Schiro T. 77. Vilhjalmsson A.	24. Argint G. 6. Bani C. 19. Bombagi F. 9. Debenedetti A. 87. De Maio S. 20. Fedel G. 90. Giacomelli S. 27. Maggioni T. 45. Monachello G. 22. Napoli A. (G) 23. Panizzi E. 12. Sonzogni L. (G) 10. Wieser D.

Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 17 in the zone Serie C ~ Group A and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B).

Instantly two teams are in a excellent shape.

In this match Mantova is a favorite.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Novara won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 11-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Novara won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Novara Calcio
Italian Serie C Group A
17.02.24	Union ArzignanoChiampo - Novara	0:0 ✺
13.02.24	Novara - Pro Sesto	1:0 ✺
10.02.24	Novara - Virtus Verona	1:0 ✺
03.02.24	Giana Erminio - Novara	0:1 ✺
28.01.24	Novara - Padova	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.1 TWWWL
- Mantova FC
Italian Serie C Group A
17.02.24	Mantova - Pro Patria	3:1 ✺
13.02.24	Alessandria - Mantova	0:1 ✺
09.02.24	Mantova - Triestina	2:1 ✺
04.02.24	AlbinoLeffe - Mantova	2:1 ✺
26.01.24	Mantova - Giana Erminio	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group A
21.10.23	Mantova - Novara	2:1
08.01.23	Novara - Mantova	5:0
10.09.22	Mantova - Novara	1:2
11.04.15	Mantova - Novara	1:2
28.11.14	Novara - Mantova	1:0

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