Match Info

Super League - Round 26

Date: 4 April 2026, Saturday

Location: Gelora Bung Tomo Stadium (Surabaya)

Where to Watch on TV:


Indonesia	Indosiar, Vidio


	Persebaya Surabaya		Persita Tangerang

	1	X	2
	1.95	3.25	3.4	Watch
	2.04	3.48	3.73
	1.91	3.54	3.8	Watch
	1.95	3.1	3.5
	2.01	3.4	3.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.97 ↓ (1.99)	3.35 ↓ (3.4)	3.61 ↑ (3.57)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Persebaya Surabaya
46.8%

Draw
27.5%

Persita Tangerang
25.6%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

46.7%

27.3%

26%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.2%

27.6%

25.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Persebaya Surabaya has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

Persita Tangerang has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Persebaya Surabaya than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Persita Tangerang than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

Persebaya Surabaya - Persita Tangerang Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
52. Ramadhani A. (G) 2. Catur A. 24. Lelis L. S. 5. Mitrevski R. 17. Jefferson 88. Raickovic M. 68. Firmansyah T. 14. Ardiansyah R. 16. Matos P. 7. Rivera F. (C) 11. Perovic M.	29. Rodrigues I. (G) 11. Toha M. (C) 5. Kozubayev T. 19. Guseynov J. 66. Jardel M. 8. Ganet P. 20. Bueno R. 36. Djiaulhaq Z. 7. Rodriguez R. 9. Nur Hardianto A. 93. Andrejic A.
Substitutes
33. Araya K. 82. Arido A. (G) 81. Baihaqi M. 83. Bruno Paraiba 8. Fernando O. 22. Freitas Gali 53. Irianto R. 66. Kardanu S. 15. Tata M. 26. Wicaksono D.	22. Alchoir F. 33. Bae Sin-Young 10. Bessa E. 80. Caraka H. 15. Fathoni C. 96. Kartika A. (G) 73. Nursofyan A. 99. Sahrul E. 30. Saputra A. 27. Zalnando
Coaches
Tavares B.	Pena C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
12', Ganet P. 🟨,
45', Nur Hardianto A. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
55', Perovic M. 🟨,
58', Djiaulhaq Z. ↓, Caraka H. ↑,
62', 1 - 0, Rivera F. ⚽,
68', Nur Hardianto A. ↓, Fathoni C. ↑,
68', Bueno R. ↓, Bessa E. ↑,
69', Firmansyah T. ↓, Bruno Paraiba ↑,
69', Ardiansyah R. ↓, Malik R. ↑,
69', Perovic M. ↓, Irianto R. ↑,
72', Kozubayev T. 🟨,
81', Catur A. ↓, Araya K. ↑,
88', Toha M. ↓, Zalnando ↑,
88', Rivera F. ↓, Freitas Gali ↑,
90+1', Guseynov J. 🟨,

Preview

A great opportunity to watch a clash of neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 7 and 5)

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Persebaya won 3.

Persebaya has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

In recent matches, Persita has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, Persebaya is a strong favorite.

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Persebaya won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 17:3. (average 1.9:0.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Persebaya won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 8:1. (average 2:0.3).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Persita	5	3	2	0	11:8	3	11
8	Persebaya	5	2	3	0	6:4	2	9

Last Results with these Odds

Persebaya Surabaya - the odds 1.99 are the expected chance of winning is 46.67%, but this team recently wins 71% of matches with these odds.

Persita Tangerang - the odds 3.57 are the expected chance of winning is 26.01%, but this team recently wins 56% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Persebaya Surabaya
Indonesian Super League
07.03.26	Borneo Samarinda - Persebaya Surabaya	5:1 ✺
02.03.26	Persebaya Surabaya - Persib Bandung	2:2 ✺
25.02.26	Persebaya Surabaya - PSM Makassar	1:0 ✺
21.02.26	Persijap Jepara - Persebaya Surabaya	3:1 ✺
14.02.26	Persebaya Surabaya - Bhayangkara	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 LTWLL
- Persita Tangerang
Indonesian Super League
07.03.26	Persita Tangerang - Madura United	4:1 ✺
02.03.26	PSM Makassar - Persita Tangerang	2:4 ✺
26.02.26	Persita Tangerang - Dewa United	0:1 ✺
22.02.26	Persib Bandung - Persita Tangerang	1:0 ✺
16.02.26	Persita Tangerang - PSBS Biak Numfor	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 WWLLW

Latest Head to Head

Indonesian Super League
16.08.25	Persita Tangerang - Persebaya Surabaya	0:1
31.01.25	Persebaya Surabaya - Persita Tangerang	1:1
14.09.24	Persita Tangerang - Persebaya Surabaya	0:1
23.02.24	Persita Tangerang - Persebaya Surabaya	1:1
12.08.23	Persebaya Surabaya - Persita Tangerang	1:0
18.01.23	Persita Tangerang - Persebaya Surabaya	0:5
01.08.22	Persebaya Surabaya - Persita Tangerang	2:0

Upcoming Matches