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Current Win Probability
Persebaya Surabaya 25.5%
Draw 29%
Persib Bandung 45.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
25.7%
26.6%
47.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
25.2%
26.1%
48.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Persebaya Surabaya has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)
Persib Bandung has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Persebaya Surabaya than the current prediction. (-0.3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Persib Bandung than the current prediction. (+3.1%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
20%
10%
70%
Persebaya Surabaya - Persib Bandung Predictions
Users Predictions:
10 users predict this event. Persebaya will win (votes: 2 - 20%). Persib Bandung will win (votes: 7 - 70%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 10%). Confidence interval (95%) for Persib Bandung: 41.6% – 98.4%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Persib Bandung (votes: 1 - 100%).
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Persib Bandung (votes: 2 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
21. Ari E. (G) 2. Catur A. 5. Mitrevski R. 24. Lelis L. S. 17. Jefferson 55. Putra S. 88. Raickovic M. 7. Rivera F. 22. Freitas Gali 10. Bruno (C) 14. Ardiansyah R.
14. Paku Alam T. (G) 5. Rudianto K. 93. Barba F. (C) 48. Matricardi P. 2. Reijnders E. 8. Guaycochea L. 55. Putros F. 97. Berguinho 94. Uilliam 98. Ramon Tanque 67. Ramdani S.
Substitutes
33. Araya K. 81. Baihaqi M. 8. Fernando O. 68. Firmansyah T. 44. Gustavo Fernandes 16. Matos P. 72. Maulana A. 18. May R. 78. Mujtaba A. 52. Ramadhani A. (G) 15. Tata M. 26. Wicaksono D.
18. Alis A. 17. Castel S. 6. Darwis R. 19. Dewangga A. 33. Haye T. 90. Jung A. 23. Klok M. 11. Kusnandar D. 44. Markx D. 81. Maulana F. (G) 7. Putra B.
Coaches
Tavares B.
Hodak B.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
43', 1 - 0, Bruno (Penalty Awarded),
45+2', Uilliam 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
46', Raickovic M. ↓, Gustavo Fernandes ↑,
46', Ramon Tanque ↓, Jung A. ↑,
46', Putros F. ↓, Alis A. ↑,
46', Ramdani S. ↓, Putra B. ↑,
51', 1 - 1, Guaycochea L. ⚽, Alis A. (A),
54', Putra S. ↓, Firmansyah T. ↑,
54', Ardiansyah R. ↓, Tata M. ↑,
65', Catur A. 🟨,
66', Catur A. ↓, Araya K. ↑,
73', 1 - 2, Jung A. ⚽,
74', Freitas Gali ↓, Matos P. ↑,
75', Guaycochea L. 🟨,
79', Alis A. 🟨,
81', Berguinho ↓, Klok M. ↑,
83', 2 - 2, Rivera F. ⚽, Firmansyah T. (A),
85', Jung A. 🟨,
86', Guaycochea L. ↓, Haye T. ↑,
88', Uilliam ↓, Castel S. ↑,
Preview
One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 6 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2 (Qualification: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Persebaya won 1.
Persebaya has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Persib Bandung is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
Persebaya may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Recently, Persib Bandung has had a series of home games.
Persib Bandung will hold a modest advantage in this match.
In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Persebaya won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 31:34. (average 1.8:2).
Including home matches between the teams, Persebaya won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 18:15. (average 2.3:1.9).
Indonesia
Watch
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Ari E. (G) 
Mitrevski R. 
Lelis L. S. 
Raickovic M. 
Rivera F. 
Freitas Gali 
Barba F. (C) 
Matricardi P. 
Putros F. 
Matos P. 
Castel S. 
Jung A. 
Hodak B. 
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