The best margin for this event is 5.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Persijap Jepara 34.7%
Draw 27.6%
Persebaya Surabaya 37.6%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
33.4%
27.2%
39.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
33.3%
27.1%
39.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Persijap Jepara has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)
Persebaya Surabaya has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Persijap Jepara than the current prediction. (-1.4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Persebaya Surabaya than the current prediction. (+1.9%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
50%
0%
50%
Persijap Jepara - Persebaya Surabaya Predictions
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Persijap will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Persebaya will win (votes: 2 - 50%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
20. Johansah S. (G) 14. Hidayat R. 26. Brito D. 4. Tiri 17. Ramadhan F. 80. Morelatto 33. Hamisi W. (C) 10. Martinez B. 88. Herrera B. 95. Franca Carlos 34. Guarrotxena I.
21. Ari E. (G) 2. Catur A. 12. Suaib A. 44. Gustavo Fernandes 17. Jefferson 10. Bruno (C) 68. Firmansyah T. 7. Rivera F. 88. Raickovic M. 22. Freitas Gali 24. Lelis L. S.
Substitutes
23. Akbar R. 37. Alamsah Z. 1. Ardiansyah M. (G) 16. Arjunsyah A. 66. Dicky Kurniawan 71. Fadlillah A. 32. Gomez A. 7. Indra Arya 70. Kallon P. 78. Lessy B. 45. Ndom A. 21. Saepul R.
33. Araya K. 14. Ardiansyah R. 81. Baihaqi M. 8. Fernando O. 53. Irianto R. 66. Kardanu S. 16. Matos P. 78. Mujtaba A. 55. Putra S. 52. Ramadhani A. (G) 15. Tata M. 26. Wicaksono D.
Coaches
Lemos M.
Tavares B.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
14', Gustavo Fernandes 🟨,
32', 1 - 0, Guarrotxena I. ⚽, Morelatto (A),
38', Hidayat R. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Firmansyah T. ↓, Irianto R. ↑,
46', Catur A. ↓, Araya K. ↑,
68', Hidayat R. ↓, Lessy B. ↑,
68', Morelatto ↓, Gomez A. ↑,
71', 2 - 0, Gomez A. ⚽, Herrera B. (A),
74', Suaib A. ↓, Ardiansyah R. ↑,
79', Raickovic M. ↓, Matos P. ↑,
83', Brito D. 🟨,
86', Ramadhani A. 🟥,
90+1', Freitas Gali 🟨,
90+2', 2 - 1, Bruno (Penalty Awarded),
90+5', Herrera B. ↓, Ndom A. ↑,
90+5', Freitas Gali ↓, Wicaksono D. ↑,
90+12', Ramadhan F. 🟨,
90+12', 3 - 1, Guarrotxena I. ⚽, Gomez A. (A),
90+14', Ramadhan F. ↓, Arjunsyah A. ↑,
Preview
This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 5).
Recent performances by Persijap Jepara have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Persebaya is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins โ 3).
Persebaya may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Persijap Jepara won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:4. (average 0.5:2).
Including home match between the teams, Persijap Jepara won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.