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Current Win Probability
Persebaya Surabaya 52.4%
Draw 27.5%
Bhayangkara 20%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
45.1%
29.8%
25%
Our Initial ML Estimation
47.4%
28.4%
23.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Persebaya Surabaya has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.3%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Persebaya Surabaya's performance.
Bhayangkara has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Persebaya Surabaya than the current prediction. (-5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bhayangkara than the current prediction. (+3.8%)
Persebaya Surabaya - Bhayangkara Predictions
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
AH 0 - Persebaya (1.31) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Persebaya (votes: 1 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
52. Ramadhani A. (G) 33. Araya K. 5. Mitrevski R. 53. Irianto R. 17. Jefferson 7. Rivera F. 68. Firmansyah T. 88. Raickovic M. 22. Freitas Gali 11. Perovic M. 10. Bruno (C)
1. Savik A. (G) 2. Gede P. 4. Sadiki N. 15. Damjanovic S. 58. Missa F. 19. Ichsan T. 5. Moises Gaucho (C) 17. Sidibe M. 7. Matsumura R. 37. Mbaga P. 10. Doumbia B.
Substitutes
14. Ardiansyah R. 81. Baihaqi M. 2. Catur A. 8. Fernando O. 24. Lelis L. S. 16. Matos P. 78. Mujtaba A. 55. Putra S. 12. Suaib A. 15. Tata M. 26. Wicaksono D.
11. Andika F. 12. Awan Setho (G) 8. Ginanjar 29. Handika R. (G) 96. Kurnia R. 3. Leo Silva 20. Rizki S. 9. Spasojevic I. 22. Sulistyawan D. 45. Syawal R. 72. Yamamoto S.
Coaches
Tavares B.
Munster P.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 2)
26', 0 - 1, Doumbia B. ⚽, Sidibe M. (A),
28', Ichsan T. 🟨,
30', Sadiki N. 🟨,
45+2', 0 - 2, Sidibe M. ⚽, Matsumura R. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Araya K. ↓, Catur A. ↑,
58', Freitas Gali 🟨,
64', 1 - 2, Perovic M. ⚽, Freitas Gali (A),
66', Bruno ↓, Matos P. ↑,
70', Doumbia B. 🟨,
75', Ichsan T. ↓, Rizki S. ↑,
81', Matsumura R. ↓, Yamamoto S. ↑,
81', Firmansyah T. ↓, Suaib A. ↑,
81', Perovic M. ↓, Wicaksono D. ↑,
85', Freitas Gali ↓, Lelis L. S. ↑,
85', Damjanovic S. 🟨,
89', Savik A. 🟨,
89', Rizki S. 🟨,
90+2', Damjanovic S. ↓, Leo Silva ↑,
Preview
This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 5 and 10).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Persebaya won 3.
Persebaya has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
Bhayangkara has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins โ 2).
In this match, Persebaya is considered a favorite.
In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Persebaya won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 18:12. (average 1.4:0.9).
Including home matches between the teams, Persebaya won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 8:2. (average 1.6:0.4).
Indonesia
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Ramadhani A. (G) 
Mitrevski R. 
Jefferson 
Rivera F. 
Raickovic M. 
Freitas Gali 
Sidibe M. 
Matsumura R. 
Mbaga P. 
Doumbia B. 
Matos P. 
Munster P. 
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