Match Info

A-League - Round 24

Date: 12 April 2026, Sunday

Location: HBF Park (Perth)

Referee: Skinner S. (Aus)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	Paramount+
Finland	Veikkaus TV
Hong-kong	M Plus Live, myTV SUPER
India	FanCode, FanCode
Macao	Macau Cable TV 35 Sports
New-zealand	SKY Go NZ, Sky Sport 3
United-kingdom	Discovery+ App, Discovery+, HBO Max, TNT Sports 3
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN+


	Perth Glory		Macarthur FC

	1	X	2
	3.6	3.9	1.81	Watch
	3.1	3.6	2.1
	3.7	3.7	1.88	Watch
	3.81	4.02	1.93
	3.54	4.09	1.92	Watch
	3.6	3.7	1.85
	3.95	4.07	1.88	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.61 ↑ (2.56)	3.87 ↑ (3.52)	1.91 ↓ (2.41)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Perth Glory
26.1%

Draw
24.4%

Macarthur FC
49.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.9%

26.1%

38.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.9%

25.4%

37.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Perth Glory has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Perth Glory's form might have worsened.

Macarthur FC has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Macarthur FC's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Perth Glory than the current prediction. (+10.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Perth Glory, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Macarthur FC than the current prediction. (-12.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Macarthur FC, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
37.5%	6.2%	56.2%

Perth Glory - Macarthur FC Predictions

Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Perth will win (votes: 6 - 40%). Macarthur will win (votes: 8 - 53.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 6.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Macarthur: 28.1% – 78.5%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Perth (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -0.25 - Macarthur (1.85) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Perth (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Macarthur (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
29. Sutton M. (G) 2. Shamoon C. A. 45. Kaltack B. 4. Wootton S. (C) 3. Sutton S. 9. Kucharski J. 39. De Abreu G. 27. Freney W. 7. Pennington N. 16. Popovic G. 25. Despotovski S.	1. Robinson A. (G) 22. Rose L. 3. Da Silva D. 6. Uskok T. 7. Grzan S. 10. Caceres A. 26. Brattan L. (C) 25. Talbot C. 9. Ikonomidis C. 13. Duran R. 15. Duke M.
Substitutes
67. Colakovski S. 23. Didulica A. 30. Kuzamba T. 24. Lebib A. 17. Sulemani A. 18. Tevere L. 40. Warner R. (G)	24. Bosnjak D. 12. Kurto F. (G) 11. Oliveira B. 17. Randazzo O. 28. Sawyer H. 18. Scott W. 8. Vickery L.
Coaches
Griffiths A.	Sterjovski M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
8', Brattan L. 🟨,
27', Wootton S. 🟨,
2nd Half (3 - 1)
48', 1 - 0, Pennington N. ⚽, Despotovski S. (A),
56', Duran R. ↓, Bosnjak D. ↑,
56', Ikonomidis C. ↓, Vickery L. ↑,
68', Kucharski J. ↓, Colakovski S. ↑,
68', 1 - 1, Vickery L. ⚽, Brattan L. (A),
73', Rose L. ↓, Sawyer H. ↑,
73', Freney W. ↓, Tevere L. ↑,
73', Shamoon C. A. ↓, Lebib A. ↑,
76', 2 - 1, Popovic G. ⚽, Colakovski S. (A),
80', Popovic G. 🟨,
80', Uskok T. 🟨,
83', Brattan L. ↓, Oliveira B. ↑,
83', Grzan S. ↓, Scott W. ↑,
87', Popovic G. ↓, Sulemani A. ↑,
90+5', Despotovski S. 🟨,
90+5', Vickery L. 🟨,
90+5', 3 - 1, Sulemani A. ⚽, Lebib A. (A),

Preview

An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 11 and 7).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Perth won 1.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Recently, Perth has had a series of away games.

Macarthur could have a small edge in this match.

There will not play in Perth: Anasmo J. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Cook C. (Knee Injury) Lawrence T. (Foot Injury) O'Neill B. (Injury) Ostler T. (Injury) Wales L. (Injury)

There will not play in Macarthur: Ji Dong-Won (Ankle Injury) Politidis H. (Inactive) Popovic K. (Inactive)

There are questionable in Macarthur: Duke M. (Injury)

In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Perth won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 15:29. (average 1.1:2.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Perth won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 6:12. (average 0.9:1.7).

Outrights of Australian A-League for now

Macarthur FC: 8.65% Perth Glory: 3.3%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Perth Glory	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
11	Macarthur FC	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0

Last Results with these Odds

Macarthur FC - the odds 2.41 are the expected chance of winning is 38.09%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Perth Glory
Australian A-League
04.04.26	Central Coast Mariners - Perth Glory	2:2 ✺
22.03.26	Perth Glory - Melbourne City	1:1 ✺
13.03.26	Wellington Phoenix - Perth Glory	2:0 ✺
07.03.26	Auckland FC - Perth Glory	2:2 ✺
28.02.26	Brisbane Roar - Perth Glory	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.8 TTLTT
- Macarthur FC
Australian A-League
02.04.26	Macarthur FC - Newcastle Jets	3:2 ✺
20.03.26	Auckland FC - Macarthur FC	1:2 ✺
15.03.26	Melbourne Victory - Macarthur FC	4:1 ✺
04.03.26	Macarthur FC - Central Coast Mariners	1:3 ✺
28.02.26	Macarthur FC - Western Sydney Wanderers	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.8 WWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Australian A-League
06.02.26	Macarthur FC - Perth Glory	2:2
30.11.25	Macarthur FC - Perth Glory	0:2
27.12.24	Perth Glory - Macarthur FC	0:3
20.10.24	Macarthur FC - Perth Glory	6:1
28.01.24	Macarthur FC - Perth Glory	2:2
23.12.23	Perth Glory - Macarthur FC	3:2
Australian Cup
18.07.23	Perth Glory - Macarthur FC	0:4

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