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Current Win Probability
Perth Glory 23.7%
Draw 26.5%
Melbourne City 49.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
28.1%
27.5%
44.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
27.7%
27.1%
45%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Perth Glory has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)
Melbourne City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Melbourne City's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Perth Glory than the current prediction. (+4%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Melbourne City than the current prediction. (-4.8%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
12.5%
37.5%
50%
Perth Glory - Melbourne City Predictions
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Perth will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). Melbourne City will win (votes: 4 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 37.5%). Confidence interval (95%) for Melbourne City: 15.4% – 84.6%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Melbourne City (votes: 1 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
29. Sutton M. (G) 2. Shamoon C. A. 45. Kaltack B. 4. Wootton S. 3. Sutton S. 7. Pennington N. 39. De Abreu G. 27. Freney W. 67. Colakovski S. 22. Taggart A. (C) 25. Despotovski S.
1. Beach P. (G) 13. Atkinson N. 22. Ferreyra G. 26. Souprayen S. 16. Behich A. (C) 47. Rahmani K. 8. Teague R. 14. Arzani D. 28. Younis M. 17. Caputo M. 11. Rashani E.
Substitutes
23. Didulica A. 9. Kucharski J. 24. Lebib A. 15. Lisolajski Z. 18. Tevere L. 8. Timmins C. 40. Warner R. (G)
2. Delbridge H. 39. Durakovic E. 15. Nabbout A. 40. Nieuwenhuizen J. (G) 19. Schreiber Z. 36. Shillington H. 41. Wong L.
Coaches
Griffiths A.
Vidmar A.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
21', 0 - 1, Arzani D. ⚽, Caputo M. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
66', Rashani E. ↓, Durakovic E. ↑,
67', Colakovski S. ↓, Tevere L. ↑,
67', Despotovski S. ↓, Kucharski J. ↑,
71', Rahmani K. ↓, Shillington H. ↑,
74', De Abreu G. 🟨,
81', Freney W. ↓, Didulica A. ↑,
81', Arzani D. ↓, Wong L. ↑,
81', Caputo M. ↓, Nabbout A. ↑,
89', Shamoon C. A. ↓, Lisolajski Z. ↑,
90+1', 1 - 1, Taggart A. ⚽, Kucharski J. (A),
90+2', Taggart A. 🟨,
90+3', Durakovic E. 🟨,
Preview
The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 11 and 9)
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Perth won 2.
Both teams are struggling and far from their best.
Melbourne City may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Recently, Perth has had a series of away games.
In this match, Melbourne City is the team to beat.
There will not play in Perth: Anasmo J.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
Cook C.
(Knee Injury)
Lawrence T.
(Foot Injury)
O'Neill B.
(Injury)
Wales L.
(Injury)
There will not play in Melbourne City: Kanamori T.
(Knee Injury)
Kuen A.
(Yellow Cards)
Leckie M.
(Hamstring Injury)
Nabbout A.
(Calf Injury)
There are questionable in Perth: Ostler T.
(Injury)
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Perth won 6 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 30:47. (average 1.5:2.4).
Including home matches between the teams, Perth won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 17:23. (average 2.1:2.9).
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Sutton M. (G) 
Shamoon C. A. 
Kaltack B. 
Wootton S. 
Sutton S. 
Colakovski S. 
Ferreyra G. 
Souprayen S. 
Rashani E. 
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