Match Info

World Championship - Qualification - Round 18

Date: 9 September 2025, Tuesday

Location: Estadio Nacional (Lima)

Referee: Sampaio W. (Bra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	DirecTV Sports, DSports 4
Australia	SBS On Demand
Bolivia	Tigo Sports 1, Tigo Sports 2, Tigo Sports App, XDigital
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Premium 3
Chile	Disney+
China	ZhiBo8
Colombia	Ditu, RCN Television
Ecuador	Canal del Futbol, El Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol
India	FanCode, FanCode
Kosovo	Arena Premium 3
Paraguay	Canal Trece, GEN, POPU
Peru	America TV, ATV, Movistar Deportes, Movistar TV App, Zapping Sports
Poland	Eleven Sports 3
Serbia	Arena Premium 3
Slovenia	Arena Sport 2
South-america	DGO Latin America
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 4, MEGOGO Ukraine
Uruguay	Antel TV, AUFTV, DSports 1, Eventos Montecable, Flow, NS Eventos, TCC 2
Usa	Fanatiz


	Peru		Paraguay

	1	X	2
	2.55	2.9	3.1	Watch
	2.2	2.95	3.5
	2.68	2.78	3.15
	2.73	2.77	3.4
	2.78	2.57	3.17	Watch
	2.7	2.95	3.01	Watch
	2.5	3.2	2.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.59 ↑ (2.54)	2.87 ↓ (3.23)	3.16 ↑ (2.81)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.50

The best margin for this event is 2.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Peru
36.7%

Draw
33.1%

Paraguay
30.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.2%

29.3%

33.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Peru has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

Paraguay has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
46.2%	40.4%	13.5%

Peru - Paraguay Predictions

Users Predictions: 51 users predict this event. Peru will win (votes: 23 - 45.1%). Paraguay will win (votes: 7 - 13.7%). It will Tie (votes: 21 - 41.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Peru: 31.4% – 58.8%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 20 Selected Experts predict this event. Peru (votes: 8 - 40%). Paraguay (votes: 3 - 15%). Tie (votes: 9 - 45%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Peru (1.70) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 21 Selected Experts predict this event. Peru (votes: 9 - 42.9%). Paraguay (votes: 3 - 14.3%). Tie (votes: 9 - 42.9%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Gallese P. (G) Orlando City 17. Advincula L. Boca Juniors 15. Garces R. A. Lima 5. Zambrano C. A. Lima 4. Lopez M. FC Copenhagen 7. Cabrera Nakamura K. G. Vancouver Whitecaps 10. Pena S. A. Lima 13. Tapia R. Al Wasl 19. Yotun Y. (C) Sporting Cristal 23. Grimaldo J. Riga FC 9. Ramos L. America De Cali	22. Gill O. (G) San Lorenzo 2. Velazquez G. Cerro Porteno 15. Gomez G. (C) Palmeiras 3. Alderete O. Sunderland 6. Sandez A. Rosario Central 7. Sosa R. Palmeiras 8. Gomez D. Brighton 16. Bobadilla D. Sao Paulo 11. Angel Romero Corinthians 9. Sanabria A. Cremonese 21. Martinez R. Platense
Substitutes
2. Abram L. Sporting Cristal 12. Caceda C. (G) FBC Melgar 6. Cari P. A. Lima 8. Concha J. Universitario de Deportes 21. Enriquez D. (G) Sporting Cristal 16. Gonzales C. Sporting Cristal 18. Inga C. Universitario de Deportes 3. Noriega E. Gremio 14. Pretell J. Sporting Cristal 22. Quevedo K. A. Lima 11. Rivera J. Universitario de Deportes 20. Sonne O. Burnley	17. Alcaraz A. Olimpia Asuncion 18. Arce A. Ind. Rivadavia 19. Avalos G. Independiente 4. Caceres J. Dynamo Moscow 1. Carlos Coronel (G) New York Red Bulls 5. Duarte A. Santos 12. Fernandez R. (G) Cerro Porteno 23. Galarza M. River Plate 10. Kaku Al Ain 20. Ojeda B. Real Salt Lake 14. Riveros B. Cerro Porteno 13. Romero L. Recoleta
Coaches
Ibanez Holzmann O. M.	Alfaro G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
27', Velazquez G. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Angel Romero ↓, Galarza M. ↑,
46', Martinez R. ↓, Kaku ↑,
62', Yotun Y. ↓, Concha J. ↑,
62', Cabrera Nakamura K. G. ↓, Quevedo K. ↑,
68', Velazquez G. ↓, Caceres J. ↑,
68', Sanabria A. ↓, Avalos G. ↑,
74', Gomez D. ↓, Ojeda B. ↑,
78', 0 - 1, Galarza M. ⚽, Caceres J. (A),
80', Pena S. ↓, Cari P. ↑,
85', Garces R. ↓, Noriega E. ↑,
85', Advincula L. ↓, Sonne O. ↑,

Preview

An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 9 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ World Championship).

Paraguay is Qualified for World Championship

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Peru won 3.

Peru will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Peru won 9 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 21:10. (average 1.5:0.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Peru
FIFA World Cup
04.09.25	Uruguay - Peru	3:0 ✺
10.06.25	Peru - Ecuador	0:0 ✺
06.06.25	Colombia - Peru	0:0 ✺
25.03.25	Venezuela - Peru	1:0 ✺
20.03.25	Peru - Bolivia	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.7 LTTLW
- Paraguay
FIFA World Cup
04.09.25	Paraguay - Ecuador	0:0 ✺
10.06.25	Brazil - Paraguay	1:0 ✺
05.06.25	Paraguay - Uruguay	2:0 ✺
25.03.25	Colombia - Paraguay	2:2 ✺
20.03.25	Paraguay - Chile	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.8 TLWTW

Latest Head to Head

Friendly
07.06.24	Peru - Paraguay	0:0
FIFA World Cup
07.09.23	Paraguay - Peru	0:0
Friendly
16.11.22	Peru - Paraguay	1:0
FIFA World Cup
29.03.22	Peru - Paraguay	2:0
Copa America
02.07.21	Peru - Paraguay	4:3 penalties
FIFA World Cup
08.10.20	Paraguay - Peru	2:2
Friendly
22.03.19	Peru - Paraguay	1:0

Peru - Paraguay: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide