Match Info

World Championship - Qualification - Round 16

Date: 10 June 2025, Tuesday

Location: Neo Quimica Arena (Sao Paulo)

Referee: Tello F. (Arg)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	Sporty TV
Argentina	TyC Sports 2, TyC Sports, TyC Sports Play
Australia	SBS On Demand
Bolivia	FBF Play, Futbol Canal, Tigo Sports 3, Tigo Sports App
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 1
Brazil	Amazon Prime Video, Claro TV+, Globoplay, Rede Globo, Sky+, SporTV, TV Globo, Vivo Play, Zapping
China	ZhiBo8
Croatia	Arena Sport 3, MAXtv To Go
Ecuador	Canal del Futbol, El Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol
France	L'Equipe Live Foot
Georgia	Silk Sport 3
India	Vision+
Indonesia	K-Vision
Israel	Sport 3
Malaysia	Astro Go, Astro Grandstand, Sooka
Mexico	VIX+, ViX Premium
Netherlands	Canal+, ESPN 2
Norway	VG+
Paraguay	GEN
Peru	Latina, Movistar Deportes, Movistar TV App, Zapping Sports
Portugal	Sport TV1
Russia	Match TV, Sportbox.ru
Saudi-arabia	SSC Sports NEWS
Serbia	Arena Premium 3
Slovenia	Arena Sport 1 Premium
South-america	DGO Latin America, ViX Latin America
Spain	M+ Liga de Campeones 2, Movistar+ Vamos Bar 1, #Vamos
Sweden	Sport Bladet Play, SportExpressen Play
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 2, MEGOGO Ukraine
United-kingdom	Premier Sports 2, Premier Sports Player
Uruguay	Antel TV, AUFTV, DirecTV Sports, DSports 1, Eventos Montecable, Flow, NS Eventos, TCC 2
Usa	NBC Universo, Telemundo, UNIVERSO NOW
Venezuela	BYM Sports, Inter, Simple Plus, Venevision
World	Onefootball, TyC Sports Internacional


	Brazil		Paraguay

	1	X	2
	1.4	4.33	9	Watch
	1.41	4.33	8
	1.4	4.45	8.2	Watch
	1.37	4.5	9.31
	1.42	4.57	8.39	Watch
	1.36	4.4	8.5
	1.44	4.67	9.1	Watch
	1.4	4.45	8.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.4 ↑ (1.31)	4.46 ↓ (5.31)	8.59 ↓ (9.93)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 1.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Brazil
67.7%

Draw
21.2%

Paraguay
11%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

72.5%

17.9%

9.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Brazil has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)

Paraguay has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
83.8%	10.8%	5.4%

Brazil - Paraguay Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +1.25 - Paraguay (1.83) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -1 - Brazil (1.66) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Brazil will win (30 of 36 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 71.15% – 95.51%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Brazil will win (13 of 14 users predict this - 92.86%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 16 Selected Experts predict this event. Brazil (votes: 14 - 87.5%). Paraguay (votes: 1 - 6.3%). Tie (votes: 1 - 6.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Alisson (G) Liverpool 13. Vanderson Monaco 4. Marquinhos (C) PSG 3. Alexsandro Lille 6. Alex Sandro Flamengo RJ 5. Casemiro Manchester United 8. Bruno Guimaraes Newcastle Utd 22. Martinelli G. Arsenal 11. Raphinha Barcelona 10. Vinicius Junior Real Madrid 21. Cunha M. Manchester United	12. Fernandez R. (G) Cerro Porteno 4. Caceres J. Dynamo Moscow 15. Gomez G. (C) Palmeiras 3. Alderete O. Getafe 6. Alonso J. Atletico-MG 14. Cubas A. Vancouver Whitecaps 20. Villasanti M. Gremio 8. Gomez D. Brighton 19. Enciso J. Ipswich 10. Almiron M. Atlanta United 9. Sanabria A. Torino
Substitutes
18. Andrey Santos Strasbourg 19. Antony Betis 12. Bento (G) Al Nassr 15. Beraldo L. PSG 2. Danilo Flamengo RJ 17. Ederson Atalanta 20. Estevao Palmeiras 7. Gerson Flamengo RJ 23. Hugo Souza (G) Corinthians 14. Leo Ortiz Flamengo RJ 9. Richarlison Tottenham 16. Wesley Franca Flamengo RJ	11. Angel Romero Corinthians 18. Avalos G. Independiente 16. Bobadilla D. Sao Paulo 1. Carlos Coronel (G) New York Red Bulls 5. Fabian Balbuena Dynamo Moscow 22. Gill O. (G) San Lorenzo 17. Kaku Al Ain 23. Lezcano R. Fluminense 21. Pitta I. Bragantino 13. Sandez A. Rosario Central 7. Sosa R. Nottingham 2. Velazquez G. Cerro Porteno
Coaches
Ancelotti C.	Alfaro G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
6', Alonso J. 🟨,
28', Vinicius Junior 🟨,
44', 1 - 0, Vinicius Junior ⚽, Cunha M. (A),
45+3', Bruno Guimaraes 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
61', Villasanti M. ↓, Bobadilla D. ↑,
61', Gomez D. ↓, Angel Romero ↑,
69', Sanabria A. ↓, Avalos G. ↑,
74', Alex Sandro ↓, Beraldo L. ↑,
78', Vinicius Junior ↓, Richarlison ↑,
79', Cunha M. ↓, Gerson ↑,
86', Alonso J. ↓, Sandez A. ↑,
86', Almiron M. ↓, Kaku ↑,
89', Vanderson ↓, Danilo ↑,

Preview

A great opportunity to watch a clash of neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ World Championship and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ World Championship)

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Brazil won 4.

In this match, Brazil is the undeniable favorite.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Brazil won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 17:6. (average 2.1:0.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Brazil
FIFA World Cup
05.06.25	Ecuador - Brazil	0:0 ✺
25.03.25	Argentina - Brazil	4:1 ✺
20.03.25	Brazil - Colombia	2:1 ✺
19.11.24	Brazil - Uruguay	1:1 ✺
14.11.24	Venezuela - Brazil	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 TLWTT
- Paraguay
FIFA World Cup
05.06.25	Paraguay - Uruguay	2:0 ✺
25.03.25	Colombia - Paraguay	2:2 ✺
20.03.25	Paraguay - Chile	1:0 ✺
19.11.24	Bolivia - Paraguay	2:2 ✺
14.11.24	Paraguay - Argentina	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 26.7 WTWTW

Latest Head to Head

FIFA World Cup
10.09.24	Paraguay - Brazil	1:0
Copa America
28.06.24	Paraguay - Brazil	1:4
FIFA World Cup
01.02.22	Brazil - Paraguay	4:0
08.06.21	Paraguay - Brazil	0:2
Copa America
27.06.19	Brazil - Paraguay	1:0 penalties
FIFA World Cup
28.03.17	Brazil - Paraguay	3:0
29.03.16	Paraguay - Brazil	2:2

Brazil - Paraguay: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide