Match Info

World Championship - Qualification - Round 16

Date: 10 June 2025, Tuesday

Location: Estadio Nacional (Lima)

Referee: Rojas A. (Col)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	DSports 4
Australia	SBS On Demand
Bolivia	Coteor, Inter Satelital, Telefrontera, Tigo Sports 1, Tigo Sports 2, Tigo Sports App, XDigital
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 1
Brazil	SporTV 3
Chile	Disney+
China	ZhiBo8
Croatia	Arena Sport 1, MAXtv To Go
Ecuador	Canal del Futbol, El Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol
India	FanCode, FanCode
Israel	Sport 2
Norway	VG+
Panama	Tigo Sports
Peru	America TV, ATV, Movistar Deportes, Movistar TV App, Zapping Sports
Poland	Eleven Sports 1
Russia	MATCH! Futbol 1, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
Serbia	Arena Premium 1
Slovenia	Arena Sport 2
South-america	DGO Latin America
Spain	M+ Liga de Campeones 3, Movistar Plus+ 2, Movistar Plus+
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 3, MEGOGO Sport, MEGOGO Ukraine
Uruguay	Antel TV, AUFTV, DirecTV Sports, DSports 1, Eventos Montecable, Flow, NS Eventos, TCC 2
Usa	Fanatiz
Venezuela	BYM Sports, Inter, Simple Plus


	Peru		Ecuador

	1	X	2
	3.5	2.75	2.5	Watch
	3.25	2.65	2.55
	3.4	2.72	2.48
	2.78	2.98	2.82
	3.49	2.89	2.45	Watch
	3.3	2.62	2.45
	3.6	2.94	2.49	Watch
	3.4	2.72	2.48
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.34 ↑ (2.57)	2.78 ↓ (3.25)	2.53 ↓ (2.81)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.50

The best margin for this event is 2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Peru
28.4%

Draw
34.1%

Ecuador
37.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37%

29.2%

33.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Peru has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Peru's form might have worsened.

Ecuador has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
12%	36%	52%

Peru - Ecuador Predictions

Users Predictions: 24 users predict this event. Peru will win (votes: 3 - 12.5%). Ecuador will win (votes: 12 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 9 - 37.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Ecuador: 30% – 70%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Ecuador (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 1.75 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

1X2, 1st Half - draw (3.50) (votes: 0 - 0%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

BTS - no (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH 0 - Ecuador (1.62) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Ecuador (votes: 5 - 71.4%). Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Gallese P. (G) Orlando City 17. Advincula L. Boca Juniors 4. Lopez M. FC Copenhagen 18. Carrillo A. Corinthians 5. Zambrano C. A. Lima 15. Garces R. A. Lima 7. Polo A. Universitario de Deportes 13. Tapia R. Leganes 9. Paolo Guerrero (C) A. Lima 20. Flores E. Universitario de Deportes 22. Quevedo K. A. Lima	22. Valle G. (G) LDU Quito 4. Ordonez J. Club Brugge 6. Pacho W. PSG 3. Hincapie P. Bayer Leverkusen 7. Estupinan P. (C) Brighton 19. Bryan Angulo Mushuc Runa 23. Caicedo M. Chelsea 15. Vite P. Vancouver Whitecaps 11. Rodriguez K. Royale Union SG 9. Yeboah J. Venezia 21. Franco A. Atletico-MG
Substitutes
2. Abram L. Atlanta United 23. Aquino P. Santos Laguna 12. Caceda C. (G) FBC Melgar 21. Enriquez D. (G) Sporting Cristal 6. Inga C. Universitario de Deportes 14. Lazo M. FBC Melgar 3. Noriega E. A. Lima 10. Pena S. PAOK 8. Quispe Cordova P. A. UNAM Pumas 16. Ramos L. America De Cali 11. Reyna B. CA Belgrano de Cordoba 19. Sonne O. Burnley	14. Arreaga X. Barcelona SC 18. Castillo D. Midtjylland 1. Galindez H. (G) Huracan 8. Medina Y. Genk 16. Minda A. Cercle Brugge 10. Paez K. Independiente del Valle 17. Preciado A. Sparta Prague 5. Ramirez C. Ferencvaros 20. Ramirez Leon B. J. LDU Quito 12. Ramirez M. (G) Independiente del Valle 2. Torres F. Corinthians 13. Valencia E. Internacional
Coaches
Ibanez Holzmann O. M.	Beccacece S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
27', Carrillo A. 🟨,
29', Franco A. 🟨,
40', Flores E. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
50', Tapia R. 🟨,
58', Advincula L. ↓, Sonne O. ↑,
68', Tapia R. ↓, Aquino P. ↑,
68', Rodriguez K. ↓, Valencia E. ↑,
75', Franco A. 🟨,
77', Yeboah J. ↓, Paez K. ↑,
77', Bryan Angulo ↓, Preciado A. ↑,
81', Estupinan P. ↓, Torres F. ↑,
81', Vite P. ↓, Minda A. ↑,
85', Flores E. ↓, Ramos L. ↑,
85', Polo A. ↓, Pena S. ↑,
88', Quevedo K. 🟨,

Preview

This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 9 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ World Championship).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Peru won 1.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Peru won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 12:12. (average 1.2:1.2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Peru
FIFA World Cup
06.06.25	Colombia - Peru	0:0 ✺
25.03.25	Venezuela - Peru	1:0 ✺
20.03.25	Peru - Bolivia	3:1 ✺
19.11.24	Argentina - Peru	1:0 ✺
15.11.24	Peru - Chile	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.7 TLWLT
- Ecuador
FIFA World Cup
05.06.25	Ecuador - Brazil	0:0 ✺
25.03.25	Chile - Ecuador	0:0 ✺
21.03.25	Ecuador - Venezuela	2:1 ✺
19.11.24	Colombia - Ecuador	0:1 ✺
14.11.24	Ecuador - Bolivia	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.8 TTWWW

Latest Head to Head

FIFA World Cup
10.09.24	Ecuador - Peru	1:0
01.02.22	Peru - Ecuador	1:1
Copa America
23.06.21	Ecuador - Peru	2:2
FIFA World Cup
08.06.21	Ecuador - Peru	1:2
Friendly
05.09.19	Peru - Ecuador	0:1
15.11.18	Peru - Ecuador	0:2
FIFA World Cup
05.09.17	Ecuador - Peru	1:2

Peru - Ecuador: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide