Match Info

World Championship - Qualification - Round 17

Date: 4 September 2025, Thursday 🏁 Finished

Location: Estadio Defensores del Chaco (Asunción) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Claus R. (Bra)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Argentina	20:30	DirecTV Sports, DSports 4
Australia	09:30	SBS On Demand
Bolivia	19:30	ENTEL TV, Tigo Sports 1
China	07:30	ZhiBo8
Ecuador	18:30	Canal del Futbol, El Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol
India	05:00	FanCode, FanCode
Norway	01:30	VG+
Paraguay	19:30	Canal Trece, GEN, POPU
Peru	18:30	Movistar Deportes, Movistar TV App, Zapping Sports
Poland	01:30	Eleven Sports 3
Russia	02:30	MATCH! Futbol 3, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
Serbia	01:30	Arena Premium 5
Slovenia	01:30	Arena Sport 3
South America	—	DGO Latin America
Spain	01:30	M+ Liga de Campeones 5
Ukraine	02:30	MEGOGO Futbol 4, MEGOGO Sport, MEGOGO Ukraine
Uruguay	20:30	Antel TV, AUFTV, DSports 1, Eventos Montecable, Flow, NS Eventos, TCC 2
Usa	19:30	Fanatiz


	Paraguay		Ecuador

	1	X	2
	2.6	2.6	3.4	Watch
	2.3	2.8	3.5
	2.58	2.68	3.45
	2.42	2.69	4.09
	2.36	2.66	3.78	Watch
	2.4	2.88	3.2
	2.67	2.71	3.62	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.48 ↑ (2.44)	2.72 ↓ (2.97)	3.58 ↑ (3.29)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.50

The best margin for this event is 2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Paraguay
38.4%

Draw
35%

Ecuador
26.6%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

39%

32.1%

28.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Paraguay has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

Ecuador has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
56.9%	29.4%	13.7%

Paraguay - Ecuador Predictions

Users Predictions: 49 users predict this event. Paraguay will win (votes: 29 - 59.2%). Ecuador will win (votes: 6 - 12.2%). It will Tie (votes: 14 - 28.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Paraguay: 45.4% – 73%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -0.5 - Ecuador (3.14) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DNB - Ecuador (2.39) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Paraguay (1.28) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

O/U 0.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 50%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Paraguay will win (20 of 27 users predict this - 74.07%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 31 Selected Experts predict this event. Paraguay (votes: 22 - 71%). Ecuador (votes: 3 - 9.7%). Tie (votes: 6 - 19.4%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Fernandez R. (G) Cerro Porteno 4. Caceres J. Dynamo Moscow 15. Gomez G. (C) Palmeiras 3. Alderete O. Sunderland 6. Alonso J. Atletico-MG 14. Cubas A. Vancouver Whitecaps 8. Gomez D. Brighton 7. Sosa R. Palmeiras 21. Martinez R. Platense 10. Almiron M. Atlanta United 9. Sanabria A. Cremonese	1. Galindez H. (C) Huracan 4. Ordonez J. Club Brugge 6. Pacho W. PSG 3. Hincapie P. Arsenal 7. Estupinan P. AC Milan 17. Preciado A. Sparta Prague 5. Alcivar J. Independiente del Valle 15. Vite P. UNAM Pumas 20. Angulo N. Anderlecht 10. Paez K. Strasbourg 13. Valencia E. Internacional
Substitutes
11. Angel Romero Corinthians 18. Arce A. Ind. Rivadavia 19. Avalos G. Independiente 16. Bobadilla D. Sao Paulo 5. Duarte A. Santos 1. Espinola J. (G) Newells Old Boys 23. Galarza M. River Plate 22. Gill O. (G) San Lorenzo 17. Kaku Al Ain 20. Ojeda B. Real Salt Lake 13. Sandez A. Rosario Central 2. Velazquez G. Cerro Porteno	8. Campana L. New England Revolution 21. Castillo D. Midtjylland 23. Medina Y. Genk 18. Mercado J. Sparta Prague 16. Mercado P. Independiente del Valle 14. Minda A. Cercle Brugge 19. Plata G. Flamengo RJ 12. Ramirez M. (G) Kifisia 11. Rodriguez K. Royale Union SG 2. Torres F. Corinthians 22. Valle G. (G) LDU Quito 9. Yeboah J. Venezia
Coaches
Alfaro G.	Beccacece S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
9', Alonso J. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
54', Vite P. 🟨,
61', Martinez R. ↓, Galarza M. ↑,
63', Beccacece S. 🟨,
65', Cubas A. 🟨,
70', Valencia E. ↓, Rodriguez K. ↑,
70', Paez K. ↓, Plata G. ↑,
77', Sosa R. ↓, Kaku ↑,
78', Almiron M. 🟨,
85', Angulo N. ↓, Minda A. ↑,
85', Estupinan P. ↓, Torres F. ↑,
85', Sanabria A. ↓, Arce A. ↑,
85', Cubas A. ↓, Bobadilla D. ↑,
90+3', Vite P. ↓, Mercado J. ↑,

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ World Championship and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ World Championship).

Ecuador is Qualified for World Championship

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Paraguay won 2.

Paraguay is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Paraguay won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:10. (average 1.3:1.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Paraguay
FIFA World Cup
10.06.25	Brazil - Paraguay	1:0 ✺
05.06.25	Paraguay - Uruguay	2:0 ✺
25.03.25	Colombia - Paraguay	2:2 ✺
20.03.25	Paraguay - Chile	1:0 ✺
19.11.24	Bolivia - Paraguay	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.4 LWTWT
- Ecuador
FIFA World Cup
10.06.25	Peru - Ecuador	0:0 ✺
05.06.25	Ecuador - Brazil	0:0 ✺
25.03.25	Chile - Ecuador	0:0 ✺
21.03.25	Ecuador - Venezuela	2:1 ✺
19.11.24	Colombia - Ecuador	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18 TTTWW

Latest Head to Head

FIFA World Cup
10.10.24	Ecuador - Paraguay	0:0
24.03.22	Paraguay - Ecuador	3:1
02.09.21	Ecuador - Paraguay	2:0
23.03.17	Paraguay - Ecuador	2:1
24.03.16	Ecuador - Paraguay	2:2
26.03.13	Ecuador - Paraguay	4:1

Paraguay - Ecuador: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide