Match Info

ITALY: Serie C - Promotion - Play Offs - 1/8-finals

Date: 18 May 2024, Saturday


	Carrarese		Perugia

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.05	2.95	3.3
	2.1	3.1	3.5
	2.12	3.02	3.83
	2.12	3.02	3.83
	2.09	3.07	3.61
	2.12	3	3.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.1 ↑ (2.05)	3.03 ↓ (3.24)	3.58 ↑ (3.53)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Carrarese
43.8%

Draw
30.4%

Perugia
25.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.1%

28.6%

26.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.5%

27.7%

25.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Carrarese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

Perugia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Carrarese than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Perugia than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

Carrarese - Perugia Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Bleve M. (G) 4. Illanes J. 15. Di Gennaro M. 21. Coppolaro M. 72. Zanon S. 17. Zuelli E. 18. Schiavi N. 11. Cicconi M. 8. Palmieri R. 10. Panico G. 32. Finotto M.	12. Adamonis M. (G) 94. Mezzoni F. 44. Lewis N. 15. Dell'Orco C. 4. Iannoni E. 16. Bartolomei P. 28. Kouan C. 23. Lisi F. 20. Ricci F. 9. Vazquez F. 10. Matos
Substitutes
39. Belloni N. 82. Capezzi L. 6. Cerretelli F. 5. Della L. S. 90. Di Matteo T. 99. Giannetti N. 7. Grassini D. 3. Imperiale M. 22. Mazzini S. (G) 24. Morosini L. 33. Sansaro A. 12. Tampucci T. (G)	1. Abibi A. (G) 33. Agosti L. 5. Angella G. 71. Bozzolan A. 86. Giunti G. 73. Polizzi M. 11. Seghetti A. 91. Souare M. 45. Sylla Y. 24. Torrasi E. 6. Vulikic S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
24', 0 - 1, Lisi F. ⚽,
31', 1 - 1, Panico G. ⚽,
45+1', Lisi F. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
52', Schiavi N. 🟨,
53', Mezzoni F. 🟨,
65', Kouan C. ↓, Torrasi E. ↑,
66', Vazquez F. ↓, Seghetti A. ↑,
68', Schiavi N. ↓, Della L. S. ↑,
68', Zanon S. ↓, Grassini D. ↑,
76', Finotto M. ↓, Giannetti N. ↑,
76', Zuelli E. ↓, Cerretelli F. ↑,
77', Panico G. ↓, Belloni N. ↑,
78', Ricci F. ↓, Sylla Y. ↑,
86', Matos ↓, Polizzi M. ↑,
87', Iannoni E. ↓, Giunti G. ↑,
90+4', 1 - 2, Sylla Y. ⚽,

Preview

2nd leg. 1st leg result: 2-0.

Carrarese is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Perugia is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Perugia could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Carrarese will have a mini benefit in this match.

Our prediction for today's Carrarese to win the game is with odds 2.1.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Carrarese won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Carrarese won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Carrarese Calcio
Italian Serie C Group A
14.05.24	Perugia - Carrarese	0:2 ✺
Italian Serie C Group B
28.04.24	Carrarese - Pontedera	2:1 ✺
21.04.24	Lucchese - Carrarese	0:1 ✺
14.04.24	Carrarese - Rimini	3:0 ✺
07.04.24	Recanatese - Carrarese	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.3 WWWWL
- Perugia Calcio
Italian Serie C Group A
14.05.24	Perugia - Carrarese	0:2 ✺
11.05.24	Perugia - Rimini	0:0 ✺
Italian Serie C Group B
28.04.24	Cesena - Perugia	2:0 ✺
21.04.24	Perugia - Arezzo	1:1 ✺
14.04.24	Vis Pesaro - Perugia	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 LTLTL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group A
14.05.24	Perugia - Carrarese	0:2
Italian Serie C Group B
28.03.24	Carrarese - Perugia	1:0
25.11.23	Perugia - Carrarese	1:1
Italian Lega Pro C1/B
10.03.13	Carrarese - Perugia	0:1

Upcoming Matches