Match Info

Serie C - Group B - Round 11

Date: 23 October 2026, Friday 🏁 Finished

Location: Stadio Renato Curi (Perugia) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Mirabella D. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Italy	20:30	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia


	Perugia		Pescara

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.55	3.10	2.45
	2.43	3.10	2.55	Watch
	2.64	3.30	2.72
	2.61	3.2	2.56	Watch
	2.60	3.10	2.65
	2.43	3.30	2.45	Watch
	2.60	3.15	2.60
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.55 ↑ (2.47)	3.18 ↓ (3.3)	2.57 ↑ (2.53)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Perugia
35.8%

Draw
28.7%

Pescara
35.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

36.7%

27.5%

35.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.6%

27.6%

35.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Perugia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

Pescara has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Perugia than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pescara than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

Perugia - Pescara Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Zelezny R. (G) 14. Quirini E. 28. Riccardi D. (C) 4. Tozzuolo A. 7. Cisco A. 77. Kabashi E. 8. Ladinetti R. 20. Carriero G. 11. Borsoi M. 30. van Amersfoort P. 10. Canotto L.	90. Fiorillo V. (G) 20. Donati F. 2. Capellini R. 33. Nardin F. 32. Motta M. 14. Valzania L. (C) 8. Graziani L. 27. Erradi B. 7. Meazzi L. 97. Parigi G. 19. D'Ausilio M.
Substitutes
6. Angeli M. 39. Cavallini G. 31. Conti G. 72. Cortesi M. 19. Dottori C. 33. Langella C. 12. Moro L. (G) 15. Papazov D. 29. Renault G. 9. Sabbatani A. 26. Seha S. 5. Stramaccioni D. 55. Strappini S. (G)	15. Altare G. 42. Bonassi L. (G) 21. Ferraris A. 17. Gatto M. 9. Inglese R. 3. Letizia G. 10. Merola D. 18. Milan M. 23. Pellacani F. 22. Saio I. (G) 37. Vitali P. 49. Zeppieri M.
Coaches
Diana A.	Busce A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
1', 1 - 0, Carriero G. ⚽, Cisco A. (A),
25', Tozzuolo A. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Meazzi L. ↓, Merola D. ↑,
47', 1 - 1, Merola D. ⚽, Graziani L. (A),
51', 1 - 2, Merola D. (Penalty Awarded),
52', Merola D. 🟨,
53', Valzania L. 🟨,
53', Kabashi E. 🟨,
59', Kabashi E. ↓, Langella C. ↑,
59', Canotto L. ↓, Sabbatani A. ↑,
60', Quirini E. ↓, Papazov D. ↑,
65', Sabbatani A. 🟨,
66', Ladinetti R. ↓, Seha S. ↑,
66', van Amersfoort P. ↓, Cortesi M. ↑,
69', Cortesi M. 🟨,
71', Motta M. ↓, Letizia G. ↑,
82', Merola D. ↓, Vitali P. ↑,
90', Graziani L. ↓, Gatto M. ↑,
90+1', D'Ausilio M. ↓, Milan M. ↑,

Preview

An exciting matchup between two close rivals in the standings (ranked 7th in the Promotion - Serie C - Promotion - Play Offs (1/32 - finals) and 8th in the Promotion - Serie C - Promotion - Play Offs (1/32 - finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Perugia won 1.

Both teams have experienced an unpredictable run of results lately.

In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.

In the last 17 head-to-head meetings, Perugia has recorded 5 wins, 7 draws, and 5 losses, with a goal aggregate of 25:24 (averaging 1.5:1.4 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Perugia against this opponent, the record stands at 3 wins, 3 draws, and 3 losses, with 15:15 goals (averaging 1.7:1.7 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Pescara	11	5	3	3	15:13	2	18
9	Perugia	11	5	1	5	15:17	-2	16

Last Results with these Odds

Pescara - the odds 2.53 are the expected chance of winning is 35.85%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Perugia Calcio
Italian Serie C Group B
18.10.26	Campobasso - Perugia	1:5 ✺
11.10.26	Perugia - Vado	0:2 ✺
03.10.26	Gubbio - Perugia	1:3 ✺
27.09.26	Perugia - Reggiana	1:0 ✺
20.09.26	Grosseto - Perugia	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12 WLWWL
- Pescara
Italian Serie C Group B
18.10.26	Pescara - Ostia Mare	2:0 ✺
12.10.26	Pescara - Guidonia Montecelio	1:1 ✺
03.10.26	Livorno - Pescara	0:0 ✺
27.09.26	Pescara - Spezia	1:2 ✺
20.09.26	Vado - Pescara	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 WTTLW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group B
26.01.25	Perugia - Pescara	0:0
23.09.24	Pescara - Perugia	0:0
15.01.24	Pescara - Perugia	0:1
10.09.23	Perugia - Pescara	1:1
Italian Serie B
14.08.20	Perugia - Pescara	2:2 penalties
10.08.20	Pescara - Perugia	2:1
10.07.20	Pescara - Perugia	2:2

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