Match Info

ITALY: Serie C - Group B - Round 24

Date: 26 January 2025, Sunday

Location: Stadio Renato Curi (Perugia)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	NOW TV, Sky Sport 252
World	FIFA+


	Perugia		Pescara

	1	X	2
	2.75	2.95	2.37
	2.8	2.75	2.31
	3.06	3.1	2.47
	3	3.08	2.46	Watch
	3	2.9	2.3
	2.89	3.1	2.33	Watch
	2.8	2.75	2.31
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.9 ↑ (2.48)	2.95 ↑ (2.88)	2.36 ↓ (2.67)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Perugia
31.1%

Draw
30.6%

Pescara
38.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.8%

30.9%

33.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.8%

28.3%

36.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Perugia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)

Pescara has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Perugia than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pescara than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	75%	25%

Perugia - Pescara Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Pescara will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 75%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Gemello L. (G) 94. Mezzoni F. 5. Angella G. (C) 15. Dell'Orco C. 98. Giraudo F. 16. Bartolomei P. 6. Giunti G. 17. Cisco A. 18. Di Maggio L. 10. Matos 9. Montevago D.	1. Saio I. (G) 2. Letizia G. 13. Brosco R. (C) 23. Pellacani F. 27. Moruzzi B. 14. Valzania L. 6. Squizzato N. 8. Dagasso M. 21. Ferraris A. 9. Vergani E. 20. Bentivegna A.
Substitutes
33. Agosti L. 22. Albertoni M. (G) 13. Amoran P. 7. Bacchin L. 29. Broh J. 4. Leo D. 23. Lisi F. 30. Marconi G. 67. Plaia M. 73. Polizzi M. 54. Romagnoli D. (G)	11. Cangiano G. 16. Crialese C. 28. De Marco A. 3. Giannini D. 7. Meazzi L. 10. Merola D. 77. Pierozzi E. 22. Plizzari A. (G) 12. Profeta N. (G) 30. Saccomanni G. 25. Staver C. 15. Tonin R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
15', Dagasso M. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Bentivegna A. ↓, Cangiano G. ↑,
56', Angella G. ↓, Plaia M. ↑,
56', Squizzato N. ↓, Meazzi L. ↑,
56', Ferraris A. ↓, Merola D. ↑,
61', Cangiano G. 🟨,
65', Vergani E. ↓, Tonin R. ↑,
77', Dagasso M. ↓, De Marco A. ↑,
80', Montevago D. ↓, Marconi G. ↑,
80', Matos ↓, Lisi F. ↑,
90+6', 🟨,

Preview

During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 12 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/32~finals)).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Perugia won 1.

Recent matches Perugia is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Pescara is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 16 head-to-head matches Perugia won 5 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 25:24 (average 1.6:1.5).

Including matches at home between the teams Perugia won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 15:15 (average 1.9:1.9).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Perugia Calcio
Italian Serie C Group B
20.01.25	Gubbio - Perugia	1:0 ✺
10.01.25	Perugia - Carpi	1:0 ✺
05.01.25	SPAL - Perugia	1:1 ✺
22.12.24	Perugia - Pianese	1:1 ✺
15.12.24	Pontedera - Perugia	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 LWTTL
- Pescara
Italian Serie C Group B
19.01.25	Pianese - Pescara	3:2 ✺
11.01.25	Pescara - Rimini	0:0 ✺
05.01.25	Sassari Torres - Pescara	1:0 ✺
22.12.24	Pescara - Ternana	0:0 ✺
14.12.24	Campobasso - Pescara	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 LTLTT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group B
23.09.24	Pescara - Perugia	0:0
15.01.24	Pescara - Perugia	0:1
10.09.23	Perugia - Pescara	1:1
Italian Serie B
14.08.20	Perugia - Pescara	2:2 penalties
10.08.20	Pescara - Perugia	2:1
10.07.20	Pescara - Perugia	2:2
01.12.19	Perugia - Pescara	3:1

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