Match Info

ITALY: Serie C - Group B - Round 26

Date: 9 February 2025, Sunday

Location: Stadio Sandro Cabassi (Carpi)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	NOW TV, Sky Sport 1, Sky Sport 257, Sky Sport Uno
World	FIFA+


	Carpi		Pescara

	1	X	2
	4	3.4	1.73
	4.2	3.35	1.73
	4.62	3.47	1.78
	4.61	3.49	1.78
	4.4	3.3	1.75
	4.47	3.54	1.69	Watch
	4.2	3.35	1.73
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.36 ↑ (3.51)	3.41 ↑ (3.23)	1.74 ↓ (1.97)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Carpi
20.9%

Draw
26.7%

Pescara
52.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25.9%

28.1%

46%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.3%

23.3%

38.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Carpi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)

Pescara has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Pescara's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Carpi than the current prediction. (+10.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Carpi, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pescara than the current prediction. (-14.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Pescara, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	25%	25%

Carpi - Pescara Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Carpi will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Pescara will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Theiner D. (G) 19. Rossini M. 6. Zagnoni D. 13. Panelli T. 36. Rigo M. 11. Amayah P. 24. Casarini F. 20. Puletto F. 72. Cortesi M. (C) 23. Sall A. 27. Gerbi E.	22. Plizzari A. (G) 77. Pierozzi E. 79. Lancini E. 23. Pellacani F. (C) 16. Crialese C. 14. Valzania L. 6. Squizzato N. 8. Dagasso M. 20. Bentivegna A. 15. Tonin R. 11. Cangiano G.
Substitutes
5. Calanca A. 70. Campagna S. 90. Figoli M. 14. Fossati D. 12. Lorenzi C. (G) 4. Mandelli A. 29. Petito M. 10. Saporetti S. 1. Sorzi M. (G) 7. Stanzani L. 2. Verza N. 77. Visani R.	9. Alberti T. 40. Arena A. 13. Brosco R. 28. De Marco A. 21. Ferraris A. 2. Letizia G. 7. Meazzi L. 10. Merola D. 27. Moruzzi B. 12. Profeta N. (G) 30. Saccomanni G. 1. Saio I. (G) 25. Staver C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
18', 1 - 0, Panelli T. ⚽,
34', 1 - 1, Dagasso M. ⚽,
45+3', Cortesi M. 🟨,
45+3', Squizzato N. 🟨,
45+6', Cortesi M. ↓, Figoli M. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Bentivegna A. ↓, Merola D. ↑,
46', Crialese C. ↓, Moruzzi B. ↑,
47', Lancini E. 🟨,
61', 1 - 2, Pierozzi E. ⚽,
66', Cangiano G. ↓, Ferraris A. ↑,
66', Squizzato N. ↓, Meazzi L. ↑,
67', Gerbi E. ↓, Saporetti S. ↑,
67', Casarini F. ↓, Fossati D. ↑,
78', Tonin R. ↓, Alberti T. ↑,
80', Amayah P. ↓, Stanzani L. ↑,
80', Puletto F. ↓, Campagna S. ↑,
88', Panelli T. 🟨,

Preview

Watch a battle-game between leader and a mid-table team (ranked 9 and 18).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Bristol City won 1.

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Bristol City could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Bristol City is a favorite.

Last 14 head-to-head matches Bristol City won 7 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 18:17 (average 1.3:1.2).

Including matches at home between the teams Bristol City won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 7:9 (average 1:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Carpi FC
Italian Serie C Group B
31.01.25	Ascoli - Carpi	2:1 ✺
25.01.25	Carpi - SPAL	1:0 ✺
19.01.25	Carpi - Virtus Entella	0:3 ✺
10.01.25	Perugia - Carpi	1:0 ✺
05.01.25	Carpi - Milan Futuro	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 LWLLT
- Pescara
Italian Serie C Group B
02.02.25	Pescara - Virtus Entella	1:1 ✺
26.01.25	Perugia - Pescara	0:0 ✺
19.01.25	Pianese - Pescara	3:2 ✺
11.01.25	Pescara - Rimini	0:0 ✺
05.01.25	Sassari Torres - Pescara	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 TTLTL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group B
30.09.24	Pescara - Carpi	2:1
Italian Serie B
22.04.19	Carpi - Pescara	0:0
07.12.18	Pescara - Carpi	2:0
13.03.18	Pescara - Carpi	0:1
30.09.17	Carpi - Pescara	0:1
14.03.15	Carpi - Pescara	1:2
25.10.14	Pescara - Carpi	0:5

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