Match Info

ITALY: Serie C - Group B - Round 25

Date: 2 February 2025, Sunday

Location: Stadio Comunale (Piancastagnaio)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	NOW TV, Sky Sport 255


	Pianese		Lucchese

	1	X	2
	1.9	3	3.75
	1.97	3	3.65
	1.97	3.18	3.88
	1.98	3.28	3.91	Watch
	1.95	3	3.9
	1.91	3.25	3.73	Watch
	1.97	3	3.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.95 ↑ (1.85)	3.1 ↓ (3.27)	3.78 ↑ (3.68)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pianese
46.6%

Draw
29.3%

Lucchese
24%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.3%

27.3%

24.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51%

25.9%

23%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pianese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

Lucchese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pianese than the current prediction. (+4.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lucchese than the current prediction. (-1%)

Pianese - Lucchese Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Boer P. (G) 15. Polidori M. 56. Masetti L. 28. Indragoli G. 7. Da Pozzo L. 30. Proietto F. 8. Simeoni L. 23. Nicoli S. 27. Frey D. 10. Mastropietro F. 9. Mignani G.	59. Melgrati R. (G) 33. Sabbione A. 27. Gucher R. 6. Gasbarro A. 30. Gemignani A. 13. Fazzi N. 8. Tumbarello G. 21. Visconti E. 29. Antoni E. 10. Selvini A. 9. Magnaghi S.
Substitutes
29. Bacchin L. 67. Barbetti F. 24. Chesti F. 21. Colombo M. 13. Ercolani L. 73. Falleni A. 1. Filippis E. (G) 19. Nardi N. 5. Pacciardi F. 90. Pallante G. 22. Reali A. (G) 25. Spinosa L.	12. Allegrucci L. (G) 26. Cartano R. 1. Coletta J. (G) 19. Fedato F. 5. Frison F. 80. Gheza F. 77. Giacchino G. 3. Rizzo N. 15. Salomaa H. 18. Sasanelli L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
24', 1 - 0, Nicoli S. ⚽,
39', Simeoni L. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
51', Polidori M. ↓, Ercolani L. ↑,
57', Fazzi N. 🟨,
61', Frey D. ↓, Colombo M. ↑,
63', Fazzi N. ↓, Salomaa H. ↑,
65', 2 - 0, Mignani G. ⚽,
67', Magnaghi S. 🟨,
76', Magnaghi S. ↓, Rizzo N. ↑,
83', Mastropietro F. ↓, Falleni A. ↑,
83', Da Pozzo L. ↓, Bacchin L. ↑,
90+1', Boer P. 🟨,

Preview

This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/32~finals) and 17 in the zone Serie C ~ Play Out).

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Lucchese could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Pianese will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Pianese won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3:3

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- US Pianese ASD
Italian Serie C Group B
25.01.25	Virtus Entella - Pianese	2:0 ✺
19.01.25	Pianese - Pescara	3:2 ✺
12.01.25	Campobasso - Pianese	0:2 ✺
06.01.25	Pianese - Ascoli	1:1 ✺
22.12.24	Perugia - Pianese	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.7 LWWTT
- AS Lucchese Libertas 1905
Italian Serie C Group B
24.01.25	Lucchese - Ascoli	2:1 ✺
18.01.25	Rimini - Lucchese	0:0 ✺
10.01.25	Lucchese - SPAL	2:3 ✺
04.01.25	Gubbio - Lucchese	3:1 ✺
20.12.24	Lucchese - Pineto	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 WTLLT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group B
25.09.24	Lucchese - Pianese	3:3

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