Match Info

FA Cup - Qualification - Quarter-finals

Date: 13 September 2025, Saturday


	Peterborough Sports		Hornchurch

	1	X	2
	4.1	3.6	1.7
	4.4	3.6	1.62
	4.15	3.75	1.72
	4.15	3.88	1.66
	1.87	3.46	3.96	Watch
	4.51	3.74	1.69	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.86 ↑ (3.8)	3.67 ↑ (3.57)	2.06 ↑ (1.81)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Peterborough Sports
25.5%

Draw
26.8%

Hornchurch
47.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24%

25.6%

50.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.1%

24.6%

52.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Peterborough Sports has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

Hornchurch has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Peterborough Sports than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hornchurch than the current prediction. (+4.6%)

Peterborough Sports - Hornchurch Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 1)

Preview

Replayed if draw.

Recent form of Peterborough Sports has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Hornchurch is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, Hornchurch is considered a favorite.

Recently, there has been no match between the teams.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Peterborough Sports FC
English National League North
06.09.25	Peterborough Sports - Fylde	0:5 ✺
02.09.25	AFC Telford United - Peterborough Sports	3:2 ✺
30.08.25	Marine - Peterborough Sports	0:1 ✺
25.08.25	Peterborough Sports - Worksop Town	0:1 ✺
23.08.25	Scarborough Athletic - Peterborough Sports	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 LLWLL
- AFC Hornchurch
English National League South
06.09.25	Ebbsfleet United - Hornchurch	1:1 ✺
02.09.25	Hornchurch - Dorking Wanderers	1:0 ✺
30.08.25	Hornchurch - Chippenham Town	3:0 ✺
25.08.25	Salisbury - Hornchurch	3:3 ✺
23.08.25	Hornchurch - Farnborough	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 TWWTW

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