The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Peterborough United 54.8%
Draw 25%
Milton Keynes Dons 20.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
50.6%
26.9%
22.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
52.1%
26.1%
21.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Peterborough United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)
Milton Keynes Dons has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Peterborough United than the current prediction. (-2.7%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Milton Keynes Dons than the current prediction. (+1.6%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
88.6%
0%
11.4%
Peterborough United - Milton Keynes Dons Predictions
Users Predictions:
Peterborough United will win
(31 of 35 users predict this - 88.57%). Confidence interval (95%): 78.03% – 99.11%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Preview
One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 8 and 21 in the zone Relegation ~ League Two).
Peterborough has the most likely position - 8 (11.17%), has project points - 69, has currently - 32, has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a chance of prom. playoffs (27%), has a small chance of promoted (9%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
MK Dons has the most likely position - 19 (8.76%), has project points - 53, has currently - 21, has a chance of relegated (20%), has a very small chance of prom. playoffs (1%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
This event has small quality24, small importance24, small match rating24. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
Last 5 head-to-head matches Peterborough won 3.
Peterborough has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
Recent matches MK Dons is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
MK Dons could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
In this match Peterborough is a favorite.
Last 14 head-to-head matches Peterborough won 8 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 25-19.
Including matches at home between the teams Peterborough won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 10-8.
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