The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Portsmouth 51.7%
Draw 26.2%
Milton Keynes Dons 22.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
55.2%
25.7%
19.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
57.7%
24.6%
18.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Portsmouth has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)
Milton Keynes Dons has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Portsmouth than the current prediction. (+6%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Portsmouth, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Milton Keynes Dons than the current prediction. (-3.8%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
83.3%
4.2%
12.5%
Portsmouth - Milton Keynes Dons Predictions
Users Predictions:
Portsmouth will win
(20 of 24 users predict this - 83.33%). Confidence interval (95%): 68.42% – 98.24%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Preview
One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 8 and 23 in the zone Relegation ~ League Two).
Portsmouth has the most likely position - 6 (9.89%), has project points - 71, has currently - 29, has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a chance of prom. playoffs (34%), has a small chance of promoted (13%), has a very small chance of win league (2%).
MK Dons has the most likely position - 21 (10.72%), has project points - 49, has currently - 15, has a chance of relegated (37%), has a very small chance of prom. playoffs (<1%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
This event has small quality23, small importance30, small match rating26. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
Last 5 head-to-head matches Portsmouth won 2.
Portsmouth is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
MK Dons is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Portsmouth could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
In this match Portsmouth is a favorite.
Last 11 head-to-head matches Portsmouth won 5 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 17-15.
Including matches at home between the teams Portsmouth won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 12-7.
Watch
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