The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Bristol Rovers 28.7%
Draw 30.9%
Milton Keynes Dons 40.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
38.2%
28%
33.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
38.1%
28.1%
33.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Bristol Rovers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.5%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Bristol Rovers's form might have worsened.
Milton Keynes Dons has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.5%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Milton Keynes Dons's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bristol Rovers than the current prediction. (+9.4%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Bristol Rovers, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Milton Keynes Dons than the current prediction. (-6.4%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Milton Keynes Dons, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
63.6%
27.3%
9.1%
Bristol Rovers - Milton Keynes Dons Predictions
Users Predictions:
10 users predict this event. Bristol Rovers will win (votes: 7 - 70%). MK Dons will win (votes: 1 - 10%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 20%). Confidence interval (95%) for Bristol Rovers: 41.6% โ 98.4%.
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
AH 0 - Bristol Rovers (1.85) (votes: 1 - 50%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Bristol Rovers (votes: 4 - 57.1%). MK Dons (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
13. Young B. (G) 35. Lopata K. 5. Kilgour A. (C) 6. Mola C. 23. Southam-Hales M. 24. Chang A. 20. McEachran J. 3. Sparkes J. 19. Harrison E. 11. Thomas L. 29. Cavegn F.
1. MacGillivray C. (G) 15. Offord L. 21. Ekpiteta M. 23. Maguire L. 22. Mellish J. 18. Collar W. 6. Kelly L. 8. Gilbey A. (C) 16. Nemane A. 13. Paterson C. 11. Mendez-Laing N.
Substitutes
27. Bilongo B. 22. Conteh K. 25. Howley R. 4. Moore T. 28. Negru S. 2. Senior J. 10. Sotiriou R.
7. Crowley D. 29. Hepburn-Murphy R. 17. Leko J. 32. Sanders J. 4. Thompson N. 20. Thompson-Sommers K. 27. Trueman C. (G)
Coaches
Clarke D.
Warne P.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
7', Southam-Hales M. 🟨,
8', 0 - 1, Kilgour A. (Own goal),
45', Ekpiteta M. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 3)
54', Southam-Hales M. ↓, Senior J. ↑,
54', Mola C. ↓, Sotiriou R. ↑,
75', Gilbey A. 🟨,
76', Senior J. ↓, Bilongo B. ↑,
80', Chang A. ↓, Conteh K. ↑,
84', 0 - 2, Maguire L. ⚽,
85', Collar W. ↓, Thompson-Sommers K. ↑,
85', Mendez-Laing N. ↓, Hepburn-Murphy R. ↑,
89', Lopata K. 🟨,
90', 0 - 3, Gilbey A. ⚽, Kelly L. (A),
90+1', Paterson C. ↓, Leko J. ↑,
90+2', Nemane A. ↓, Thompson N. ↑,
90+2', Kelly L. ↓, Crowley D. ↑,
90+3', 0 - 4, Hepburn-Murphy R. ⚽, Leko J. (A),
Preview
Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 12 and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bristol Rovers won 2.
Bristol Rovers is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
In recent matches, MK Dons has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins โ 2).
The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
There will not play in Bristol Rovers: Forde S.
(Hamstring Injury)
Negru S.
(Inactive)
There will not play in MK Dons: Collins A.
(Hamstring Injury)
Jones G.
(Hamstring Injury)
Wilson K.
(Knee Injury)
There are questionable in Bristol Rovers: McEachran J.
(Knock)
Omochere P.
(Injury)
There are questionable in MK Dons: Sanders J.
(Calf Injury)
Tomlinson J.
(Foot Injury)
In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Bristol Rovers won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 12:13. (average 1.1:1.2).
Including home matches between the teams, Bristol Rovers won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:5. (average 1.2:0.8).
United-kingdom
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Young B. (G) 
Lopata K. 
Southam-Hales M. 
Cavegn F. 
MacGillivray C. (G) 
Kelly L. 
Nemane A. 
Mendez-Laing N. 
Conteh K. 
Sotiriou R. 
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