Match Info

SCOTLAND: LEAGUE ONE - ROUND 28

Date: 11 April 2023, Tuesday


	Peterhead		Dunfermline Athletic

	1	X	2
	12	6.5	1.17
	11.5	6	1.18
	10.5	5.8	1.18
	8.2	4.8	1.32
	14.34	6.11	1.21
	17	5.5	1.17
	13.75	6.15	1.19	Watch
	13	5.8	1.17
Avarage Now (Initially)	12.54 ↑ (7)	5.83 ↑ (4.17)	1.2 ↓ (1.39)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Peterhead
7.3%

Draw
15.8%

Dunfermline Athletic
76.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

13%

21.8%

65.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

12.4%

20.8%

68.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Peterhead has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Peterhead's form might have worsened.

Dunfermline Athletic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Dunfermline Athletic's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Peterhead than the current prediction. (+5.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Peterhead, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dunfermline Athletic than the current prediction. (-8.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Dunfermline Athletic, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
23.1%	7.7%	69.2%

Peterhead - Dunfermline Athletic Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Peterhead will win (votes: 3 - 23.1%). Dunfermline will win (votes: 9 - 69.2%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 7.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Dunfermline: 44.1% – 94.3%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Peterhead won 0.

Peterhead has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Dunfermline in the latest match got series victories and it is in excellent form (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Dunfermline could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Dunfermline is certain favorite.

Last 13 head-to-head matches Peterhead won 1 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 8-24.

Including matches at home between the teams Peterhead won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Peterhead
Scottish League One
08.04.23	Peterhead - Edinburgh City	1:0 ✺
01.04.23	Queen of the South - Peterhead	2:1 ✺
25.03.23	Peterhead - Alloa Athletic	0:2 ✺
18.03.23	Airdrieonians - Peterhead	7:0 ✺
04.03.23	Falkirk - Peterhead	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 WLLLL
- Dunfermline Athletic
Scottish League One
08.04.23	Falkirk - Dunfermline Athletic	2:2 ✺
01.04.23	Dunfermline Athletic - Kelty Hearts	0:0 ✺
25.03.23	Montrose - Dunfermline Athletic	1:3 ✺
18.03.23	Dunfermline Athletic - Edinburgh City	0:0 ✺
07.03.23	Dunfermline Athletic - Falkirk	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 TTWTW

Latest Head to Head

Scottish League One
14.01.23	Dunfermline Athletic - Peterhead	4:0
19.11.22	Peterhead - Dunfermline Athletic	0:2
01.10.22	Dunfermline Athletic - Peterhead	2:2
Scottish League Cup
17.07.18	Dunfermline Athletic - Peterhead	3:0
22.07.17	Dunfermline Athletic - Peterhead	5:1
Scottish League One
30.04.16	Dunfermline Athletic - Peterhead	1:0
23.01.16	Peterhead - Dunfermline Athletic	0:0

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