Match Info

SCOTLAND: LEAGUE ONE - ROUND 30

Date: 25 March 2023, Saturday


	Montrose		Dunfermline Athletic

	1	X	2
	3.75	3.5	1.83
	3.4	3.4	1.87
	3.4	3.4	1.95
	3.82	3.56	1.92
	3.9	3.3	1.85
	3.68	3.58	1.91	Watch
	3.4	3.4	1.94
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.62 ↑ (3.6)	3.45 ↓ (3.6)	1.9 ↑ (1.83)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Montrose
25.2%

Draw
26.5%

Dunfermline Athletic
48.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25.2%

49.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.6%

50.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Montrose have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

Dunfermline Athletic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Montrose than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dunfermline Athletic than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	20%	60%

Montrose - Dunfermline Athletic Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Montrose will win (votes: 1 - 20%). Dunfermline will win (votes: 3 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Preview

Recent matches Montrose is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Dunfermline is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recently Dunfermline have a series of home games.

Dunfermline will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Montrose won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 2-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Montrose won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Montrose FC
Scottish League One
18.03.23	Kelty Hearts - Montrose	1:2 ✺
04.03.23	Montrose - Clyde	2:0 ✺
25.02.23	Alloa Athletic - Montrose	1:0 ✺
18.02.23	Montrose - Edinburgh City	3:3 ✺
04.02.23	Dunfermline Athletic - Montrose	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 WWLTL
- Dunfermline Athletic
Scottish League One
18.03.23	Dunfermline Athletic - Edinburgh City	0:0 ✺
07.03.23	Dunfermline Athletic - Falkirk	2:0 ✺
04.03.23	Dunfermline Athletic - Alloa Athletic	2:0 ✺
25.02.23	Queen of the South - Dunfermline Athletic	0:2 ✺
18.02.23	Dunfermline Athletic - Airdrieonians	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 TWWWT

Latest Head to Head

Scottish League One
04.02.23	Dunfermline Athletic - Montrose	2:0
22.10.22	Montrose - Dunfermline Athletic	2:0
13.08.22	Dunfermline Athletic - Montrose	1:0
Club Friendly
02.07.18	Montrose - Dunfermline Athletic	N/A
Scottish League Cup
28.08.12	Dunfermline Athletic - Montrose	3:0

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