Match Info

League One - Round 32

Date: 14 April 2026, Tuesday

Location: Balmoor (Peterhead)

Where to Watch on TV:


United-kingdom	BBC Alba, BBC iPlayer, BBC Sport app, BBC Sport


	Peterhead		Inverness

	1	X	2
	8	4.5	1.3	Watch
	7.9	4.75	1.33	Watch
	9.22	4.91	1.33
	8.5	5.02	1.33	Watch
	8.5	4.5	1.33
	8.74	4.92	1.33	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	8.48 ↑ (6.3)	4.77 ↑ (4.14)	1.33 ↓ (1.48)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Peterhead
10.9%

Draw
19.4%

Inverness
69.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

14.8%

22.4%

62.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

14.2%

21.5%

65.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Peterhead has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)

Inverness has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Inverness's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Peterhead than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Inverness than the current prediction. (-4.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
12.5%	12.5%	75%

Peterhead - Inverness Predictions

Users Predictions: Inverness will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Newman J. (G) 15. Steele A. 5. Brown J. (C) 46. Kerr J. 14. Carnwath A. 19. Pawlett P. 21. Forrest D. 3. Duffy F. 7. McGuffie C. 10. Shanks K. 22. Ross S.	1. Munro R. (G) 2. Millen R. 6. Devine D. (C) 5. Savage R. 12. Robertson M. 19. Stewart A. 7. Allan P. 36. Bavidge A. 22. Alonge J. 14. MacLeod C. 23. Zimba C.
Substitutes
12. Brown J. 18. Brown J. 27. Jones R. 24. Lister H. 20. McGinn N. 13. McKelvie L. (G) 16. Ross M. 2. Strachan D. 6. Strachan R.	20. Brannan B. 18. Chalmers J. 11. Longstaff L. 3. MacIntyre O. 8. Mackinnon A. 21. Ross L. (G) 17. Sole L. 37. Willox K. 10. Wotherspoon D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
28', Stewart A. 🟨,
37', Carnwath A. 🟨,
39', 0 - 1, Stewart A. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
60', Carnwath A. ↓, Strachan D. ↑,
65', Kerr J. ↓, Brown J. ↑,
67', 0 - 2, Zimba C. ⚽, Bavidge A. (A),
70', Brown J. 🟨,
75', Pawlett P. ↓, Ross M. ↑,
76', Alonge J. ↓, Sole L. ↑,
77', Longstaff L. 🟨,
80', Zimba C. 🟨,
83', Stewart A. ↓, Mackinnon A. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Peterhead won 1.

Recent form of Peterhead has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

In recent matches, Inverness has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Peterhead may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Inverness is the undeniable favorite.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Peterhead won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 2:11. (average 0.3:1.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Peterhead won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:1. (average 0.5:0.5).

Outrights of Scottish League One for now

Peterhead: 0.32%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
8	Peterhead	9	2	1	6	7:16	-9	7

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Peterhead
Scottish League One
11.04.26	East Fife - Peterhead	2:1 ✺
28.03.26	Alloa Athletic - Peterhead	1:2 ✺
21.03.26	Peterhead - Montrose	1:1 ✺
17.03.26	Inverness - Peterhead	3:1 ✺
14.03.26	Peterhead - Stenhousemuir	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 LWTLL
- Inverness CT
Scottish League One
11.04.26	Stenhousemuir - Inverness	1:1 ✺
Scottish Challenge Cup
05.04.26	Raith Rovers - Inverness	4:1 ✺
Scottish League One
27.03.26	Inverness - Queen of the South	1:1 ✺
21.03.26	Alloa Athletic - Inverness	1:1 ✺
17.03.26	Inverness - Peterhead	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 TLTTW

Latest Head to Head

Scottish League One
17.03.26	Inverness - Peterhead	3:1
25.10.25	Peterhead - Inverness	0:1
09.08.25	Inverness - Peterhead	2:0
Scottish League Cup
13.07.21	Inverness - Peterhead	2:0
16.07.19	Peterhead - Inverness	1:0 penalties
Scottish Challenge Cup
07.10.17	Inverness - Peterhead	3:0

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