Match Info

League One - Round 30

Date: 21 March 2026, Saturday

Location: Recreation Park (Alloa)


	Alloa Athletic		Inverness

	1	X	2
	5.25	3.7	1.53
	4.2	3.75	1.62
	5.3	4.05	1.52
	5.5	3.9	1.62
	5.65	3.9	1.57	Watch
	5	3.6	1.62
	5.46	3.85	1.6	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.19 ↑ (4.44)	3.82 ↑ (3.57)	1.58 ↓ (1.69)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alloa Athletic
17.7%

Draw
24.1%

Inverness
58.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

20.5%

25.5%

54%

Our Initial ML Estimation

19.7%

26.5%

56.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alloa Athletic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

Inverness has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alloa Athletic than the current prediction. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Inverness than the current prediction. (-2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Alloa Athletic - Inverness Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Alloa will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Inverness will win (votes: 2 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. McFarlane L. (G) 24. Foster O. 2. Taggart S. (C) 6. Dewar C. 3. Waters C. 28. Adamson C. 4. Hetherington S. 8. Roberts K. 27. Stewart L. 9. Donnelly L. 29. Burnside C.	1. Munro R. (G) 19. Stewart A. 5. Savage R. 6. Devine D. (C) 3. MacIntyre O. 14. MacLeod C. 8. Mackinnon A. 18. Chalmers J. 11. Longstaff L. 10. Wotherspoon D. 23. Zimba C.
Substitutes
19. Buchanan S. 17. Gallagher C. 5. Graham A. 15. McKay D. 1. Ogayi T. (G) 11. Orsi K. 10. Rankin L. 18. Sammon C. 12. Scougall S.	7. Allan P. 22. Alonge J. 36. Bavidge A. 20. Brannan B. 9. McKay B. 2. Millen R. 12. Robertson M. 21. Ross L. (G) 37. Willox K.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
45', 1 - 0, Dewar C. ⚽, Burnside C. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', MacLeod C. ↓, Brannan B. ↑,
46', Mackinnon A. ↓, Alonge J. ↑,
49', Hetherington S. 🟨,
60', 1 - 1, Zimba C. ⚽, Wotherspoon D. (A),
70', Zimba C. 🟥,
70', Hetherington S. ↓, Scougall S. ↑,
71', Longstaff L. ↓, Bavidge A. ↑,
75', Devine D. ↓, Robertson M. ↑,
85', Burnside C. 🟨,
86', 🟨,
89', Dewar C. ↓, Sammon C. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Alloa won 0.

Alloa has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Inverness is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Alloa may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Inverness is seen as the favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Alloa won 2 matches, drew 9 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 23:33. (average 1.2:1.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Alloa won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 12:14. (average 1.2:1.4).

Outrights of Scottish League One for now

Alloa: 0.37%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Alloa	9	2	3	4	9:10	-1	9

Last Results with these Odds

Inverness - the odds 1.69 are the expected chance of winning is 53.97%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alloa Athletic
Scottish League One
14.03.26	Montrose - Alloa Athletic	5:4 ✺
10.03.26	Peterhead - Alloa Athletic	3:1 ✺
07.03.26	Alloa Athletic - Kelty Hearts	2:1 ✺
28.02.26	East Fife - Alloa Athletic	0:2 ✺
21.02.26	Alloa Athletic - Hamilton Academical	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 LLWWW
- Inverness CT
Scottish League One
17.03.26	Inverness - Peterhead	3:1 ✺
14.03.26	Inverness - Cove Rangers	1:1 ✺
07.03.26	Inverness - Montrose	3:1 ✺
28.02.26	Kelty Hearts - Inverness	0:0 ✺
Scottish Challenge Cup
24.02.26	Ayr United - Inverness	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 WTWTW

Latest Head to Head

Scottish League One
24.01.26	Inverness - Alloa Athletic	3:1
25.11.25	Alloa Athletic - Inverness	1:1
30.08.25	Inverness - Alloa Athletic	1:0
22.03.25	Inverness - Alloa Athletic	1:1
25.01.25	Alloa Athletic - Inverness	1:2
16.11.24	Inverness - Alloa Athletic	1:0
14.09.24	Alloa Athletic - Inverness	2:2

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