Match Info

EUROPE: Europa League - Qualification - Final

Date: 29 August 2024, Thursday

Location: Stadionul Zimbru (Chişinău)

Referee: Stegemann S. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bulgaria	Diema Sport


	Petrocub-Hîncești		Ludogorets Razgrad

	1	X	2
	4.33	3.4	1.83	Watch
	4.33	3.5	1.85
	4	3.75	1.83	Watch
	4.66	3.56	1.86
	4.14	3.6	1.89	Watch
	4.2	3.4	1.73
	4.45	3.54	1.84	Watch
	4	3.75	1.83
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.26 ↑ (3.5)	3.56 ↓ (3.65)	1.83 (1.83)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Petrocub-Hîncești
22.1%

Draw
26.5%

Ludogorets Razgrad
51.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25.8%

24.8%

49.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.1%

24.1%

50.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Petrocub-Hîncești has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

Ludogorets Razgrad has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Petrocub-Hîncești than the current prediction. (+3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ludogorets Razgrad than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
10.5%	5.3%	84.2%

Petrocub Hîncești - Ludogorets Razgrad Predictions

Users Predictions: Ludogorets Razgrad will win (16 of 18 users predict this - 88.89%).
Confidence interval (95%): 74.37% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Smalenea S. (G) 90. Jardan I. 4. Mudrac V. 66. Bors I. 11. Platica S. 19. Platica M. 39. Lungu T. 30. Jardan V. 37. Puscas D. 23. Lupan M. 9. Ambros V. (C)	1. Padt S. (G) 16. Witry A. F. 15. Kurtulus E. 4. Almeida D. 17. Son 30. Pedro Naressi 20. Camara A. 6. Piotrowski J. (C) 11. Caio Vidal 12. Rwan Seco 7. Rick
Substitutes
71. Bivol D. 22. Caruntu M. 94. Cotogoi C. 32. Covali D. (G) 8. Demian D. 6. Diallo B. 31. Dodon V. (G) 5. Narh G. 10. Sandu C.	39. Bonmann H. (G) 18. Chochev I. 90. Delev S. 9. Duah K. 23. Duarte D. 14. Gropper D. 67. Hristov D. (G) 8. Nedelev T. 19. Rusev G. 24. Verdon O. 82. Yordanov I.
Coaches
Martin A.	Sirakov Z.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
7', Jardan V. 🟨,
28', 1 - 0, Ambros V. ⚽, Lupan M. (A),
30', Camara A. 🟨,
35', Puscas D. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
48', Ambros V. 🟨,
58', Mudrac V. 🟨,
58', Mudrac V. 🟨,
62', Ambros V. ↓, Demian D. ↑,
68', Rwan Seco ↓, Delev S. ↑,
68', Caio Vidal ↓, Duah K. ↑,
72', Platica M. ↓, Diallo B. ↑,
72', Lupan M. ↓, Caruntu M. ↑,
75', 1 - 1, Delev S. ⚽,
76', Camara A. ↓, Yordanov I. ↑,
76', Piotrowski J. ↓, Duarte D. ↑,
77', Puscas D. ↓, Sandu C. ↑,
77', Lungu T. ↓, Cotogoi C. ↑,
81', Yordanov I. 🟨,
83', Pedro Naressi ↓, Nedelev T. ↑,
90+2', Caruntu M. 🟨,
90+3', 1 - 2, Rick ⚽, Kurtulus E. (A),

Preview

2nd leg. Playing home matches at a different stadium - Stadionul Zimbru. 1st leg result: 0-4.

Recent matches Petrocub is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Ludogorets is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

In this match Ludogorets is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Petrocub won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Petrocub-Hîncești
Moldovan Super Liga
25.08.24	Petrocub-Hîncești - Dacia Buiucani	2:0 ✺
UEFA Europa League
22.08.24	Ludogorets Razgrad - Petrocub-Hîncești	4:0 ✺
Moldovan Super Liga
18.08.24	Sheriff Tiraspol - Petrocub-Hîncești	1:0 ✺
UEFA Europa League
13.08.24	The New Saints - Petrocub-Hîncești	0:0 ✺
Moldovan Super Liga
09.08.24	Petrocub-Hîncești - Florești	Floresti awarded ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 WLLT?
- Ludogorets Razgrad
Bulgarian Parva Liga
25.08.24	Beroe Stara Zagora - Ludogorets Razgrad	0:1 ✺
UEFA Europa League
22.08.24	Ludogorets Razgrad - Petrocub-Hîncești	4:0 ✺
Bulgarian Parva Liga
17.08.24	Ludogorets Razgrad - Levski Sofia	1:0 ✺
UEFA Champions League
13.08.24	Ludogorets Razgrad - Qarabağ Agdam	2:7 ET ✺
06.08.24	Qarabağ Agdam - Ludogorets Razgrad	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.8 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Europa League
22.08.24	Ludogorets Razgrad - Petrocub-Hîncești	4:0

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