Match Info

WORLD: CLUB FRIENDLY

Date: 30 June 2023, Friday


	Petrolul Ploieşti		Aluminij Kidricevo

	1	X	2
	2.15	3.5	2.7
	2	3.75	2.85
	2.26	3.44	2.79
	2.15	3.5	2.8
	2.17	3.8	2.97	Watch
	2.2	3.75	2.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.16 ↓ (2.85)	3.62 ↑ (3.6)	2.79 ↑ (2.12)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Petrolul Ploieşti
42.3%

Draw
25.1%

Aluminij Kidricevo
32.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.9%

25.2%

42.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.3%

24.7%

43.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Petrolul Ploieşti has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Petrolul Ploieşti's performance.

Aluminij Kidricevo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Aluminij Kidricevo might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Petrolul Ploieşti than the current prediction. (-11%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Petrolul Ploieşti that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aluminij Kidricevo than the current prediction. (+11.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Aluminij Kidricevo could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	10%	10%

Petrolul Ploieşti - Aluminij Kidricevo Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Ploiesti will win (votes: 8 - 80%). Aluminij will win (votes: 1 - 10%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 10%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Ploiesti: 55.2% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Ploiesti is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Aluminij is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Aluminij could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Petrolul Ploieşti
Club Friendly
26.06.23	Petrolul Ploieşti - Sarajevo	0:5 ✺
22.06.23	Petrolul Ploieşti - Shkendija Tetovo	2:3 ✺
Romanian SuperLiga
19.05.23	Argeș Pitești - Petrolul Ploieşti	3:0 ✺
13.05.23	Petrolul Ploieşti - Hermannstadt	0:1 ✺
05.05.23	Chindia Târgoviște - Petrolul Ploieşti	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 LLLLW
- Aluminij Kidricevo
Slovenian 2 SNL
28.05.23	Gorica - Aluminij Kidricevo	1:1 ✺
25.05.23	Aluminij Kidricevo - Gorica	3:1 ✺
19.05.23	Krka - Aluminij Kidricevo	2:2 ✺
12.05.23	Aluminij Kidricevo - Primorje	0:1 ✺
03.05.23	Bilje - Aluminij Kidricevo	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 TWTLW

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