Match Info

ITALY: SERIE C - GROUP A - ROUND 20

Date: 23 December 2022, Friday

Location: Stadio Leonardo Garilli (Piacenza)


	Piacenza		Pergolettese

	1	X	2
	2.1	3	3.2	Watch
	2.05	2.95	3.5
	2.15	2.95	3.2
	2.14	2.98	3.46
	2.15	2.9	3.3
	2.11	3.13	3.34	Watch
	2.16	3.1	3.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.12 ↓ (2.25)	3 ↑ (2.8)	3.31 ↑ (3.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Piacenza
42.6%

Draw
30.1%

Pergolettese
27.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.9%

32.1%

28%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.9%

31.3%

27.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Piacenza has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

Pergolettese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Piacenza than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

The ML Model estimate for Pergolettese aligns with the current prediction.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	50%	10%

Piacenza - Pergolettese Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Piacenza will win (votes: 4 - 40%). Pergolettese will win (votes: 1 - 10%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 50%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 19% – 81%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

This time only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation and 16 in the zone Serie C ~ Play Out).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Piacenza won 2.

Recent matches Piacenza is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Pergolettese is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 9 head-to-head matches Piacenza won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 14-12.

Including matches at home between the teams Piacenza won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Piacenza Calcio 1919
Italian Serie C Group A
17.12.22	Vicenza Virtus - Piacenza	1:1 ✺
11.12.22	Piacenza - Pro Patria	0:1 ✺
04.12.22	Pro Sesto - Piacenza	1:0 ✺
30.11.22	Piacenza - Triestina	2:0 ✺
27.11.22	Novara - Piacenza	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.3 TLLWT
- US Pergolettese
Italian Serie C Group A
17.12.22	Triestina - Pergolettese	1:0 ✺
11.12.22	Pergolettese - Pro Sesto	1:2 ✺
04.12.22	Vicenza Virtus - Pergolettese	2:0 ✺
30.11.22	Pergolettese - Novara	1:0 ✺
27.11.22	Pergolettese - Virtus Verona	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 LLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group A
03.09.22	Pergolettese - Piacenza	2:1
Club Friendly
30.07.22	Pergolettese - Piacenza	0:1
Italian Serie C Group A
13.02.22	Piacenza - Pergolettese	3:0
03.10.21	Pergolettese - Piacenza	2:2
Club Friendly
01.08.21	Piacenza - Pergolettese	2:3
Italian Serie C Group A
11.04.21	Pergolettese - Piacenza	0:1
19.12.20	Piacenza - Pergolettese	1:1

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