Match Info

Serie C - Group B - Round 20

Date: 3 January 2026, Saturday

Location: Stadio Comunale (Piancastagnaio)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 253, Sky Sport MIX


	Pianese		Ascoli

	1	X	2
				Watch
	4	3	1.83
	4.45	3.15	1.82
	4.53	3.19	1.81	Watch
	4.5	2.9	1.8
	4.7	3.24	1.83	Watch
	4.75	3	1.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.49 ↑ (4.37)	3.08 ↓ (3.23)	1.82 (1.82)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pianese
20.3%

Draw
29.6%

Ascoli
50%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

21%

28.5%

50.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

19.8%

30.2%

53.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pianese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

Ascoli has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pianese than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ascoli than the current prediction. (+3.6%)

Pianese - Ascoli Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Ascoli (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Filippis E. (G) 13. Ercolani L. 15. Gorelli M. 16. Chesti F. 19. Sussi C. 30. Proietto F. 27. Bertini M. 77. Martey C. 21. Tirelli M. 10. Puletto F. 11. Bellini L.	1. Vitale S. (G) 23. Alagna M. 33. Rizzo N. 30. Curado M. 17. Guiebre A. 80. Corradini G. 62. Milanese T. 7. Silipo A. 25. Rizzo Pinna A. 15. D'Uffizi S. 9. Chakir M. A.
Substitutes
6. Amey W. 5. Balde M. 12. Bertini T. (G) 31. Bigiarini D. 23. Chiavarino M. 29. Fabrizi L. 70. Nicastro M. 7. Peli L. 24. Reali A. (G) 8. Simeoni L. 14. Sodero A. 25. Spinosa L. 71. Xhani K.	24. Bando A. 46. Barosi D. (G) 41. Brzan R. (G) 18. Corazza S. 27. Cozzoli F. 35. Gori G. 19. Menna D. 6. Ndoj E. 3. Nicoletti M. 11. Oviszach E. 2. Pagliai G. 29. Palazzino F. 60. Zagari R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 2)
5', Curado M. 🟨,
28', Curado M. 🟨,
30', 1 - 0, Bellini L. (Penalty Awarded),
31', Rizzo Pinna A. ↓, Pagliai G. ↑,
35', 1 - 1, Milanese T. ⚽,
43', 1 - 2, Silipo A. ⚽,
45+4', 2 - 2, Bellini L. (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (2 - 0)
61', Guiebre A. 🟨,
61', Puletto F. ↓, Sodero A. ↑,
62', Martey C. ↓, Amey W. ↑,
76', 🟨,
76', Silipo A. ↓, Oviszach E. ↑,
76', Chakir M. A. ↓, Gori G. ↑,
76', Corradini G. ↓, Bando A. ↑,
80', D'Uffizi S. 🟨,
80', Milanese T. ↓, Ndoj E. ↑,
81', 3 - 2, Bellini L. ⚽,
90+1', 4 - 2, Sodero A. ⚽,
90+1', Sodero A. 🟨,
90+4', Tirelli M. ↓, Peli L. ↑,
90+4', Bellini L. ↓, Fabrizi L. ↑,

Preview

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 11 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/8~finals)).

Pianese is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Ascoli has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Ascoli is considered a favorite.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Pianese won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2. (average 0.3:0.7).

Including home match between the teams, Pianese won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
15	Pianese	9	1	4	4	6:10	-4	7

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- US Pianese ASD
Italian Serie C Group B
21.12.25	Pianese - Ternana	0:0 ✺
12.12.25	Juventus U23 - Pianese	0:0 ✺
06.12.25	Pianese - Gubbio	1:0 ✺
30.11.25	Campobasso - Pianese	1:1 ✺
22.11.25	Pianese - Forlì	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.6 TTWTW
- Ascoli Calcio
Italian Serie C Group B
21.12.25	Ascoli - Campobasso	0:0 ✺
14.12.25	Guidonia Montecelio - Ascoli	0:0 ✺
08.12.25	Ascoli - Forlì	3:0 ✺
01.12.25	Vis Pesaro - Ascoli	1:1 ✺
23.11.25	Ascoli - Arezzo	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3 TTWTL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group B
23.08.25	Ascoli - Pianese	0:0
06.01.25	Pianese - Ascoli	1:1
02.09.24	Ascoli - Pianese	1:0

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