Match Info

Serie C - Promotion - Play Offs - 1/32-finals

Date: 3 May 2026, Sunday

Location: Stadio Comunale (Piancastagnaio)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 254


	Pianese		Ternana

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.45	3	2.6
	2.58	3.15	2.62	Watch
	2.68	3.15	2.78
	2.62	3.03	2.67	Watch
	2.5	2.9	2.5
	2.63	3.15	2.67
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.58 ↑ (2.48)	3.06 ↓ (3.18)	2.64 ↓ (2.67)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pianese
35.5%

Draw
29.9%

Ternana
34.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.9%

28.8%

34.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38%

28%

33.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pianese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

Ternana has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pianese than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ternana than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	66.7%	0%

Pianese - Ternana Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Pianese will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Filippis E. (G) 56. Masetti L. 6. Amey W. 15. Gorelli M. 33. Coccia L. 30. Proietto F. (C) 27. Bertini M. 21. Tirelli M. 19. Sussi C. 9. Ongaro E. 29. Fabrizi L.	1. Vitali T. (G) 20. Donati F. 19. Capuano M. (C) 13. Maestrelli A. 43. Ndrecka A. 4. Vallocchia A. 8. McJannet E. 16. Garetto M. 22. Aramu M. 32. Pettinari S. 27. Ferrante A.
Substitutes
5. Balde M. 4. Colombo M. 13. Ercolani L. 10. Ianesi S. 77. Martey C. 12. Nespola M. (G) 7. Peli L. 57. Porciatti F. (G) 8. Simeoni L. 14. Sodero A. 71. Xhani K.	38. Bruti T. 71. D'Alterio F. (G) 9. Dubickas E. 2. Kurti A. 10. Leonardi S. 87. Martella B. 14. Meccariello B. 12. Morlupo A. (G) 30. Orellana M. 3. Pagliari M. 18. Panico G. 80. Proietti M. 5. Tripi F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
29', Bertini M. 🟨,
45', Sussi C. 🟥,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Capuano M. ↓, Martella B. ↑,
46', Ongaro E. ↓, Simeoni L. ↑,
52', Gorelli M. 🟨,
56', Aramu M. 🟨,
57', Bertini M. ↓, Ercolani L. ↑,
57', Aramu M. ↓, Orellana M. ↑,
57', McJannet E. ↓, Leonardi S. ↑,
59', 1 - 0, Coccia L. ⚽,
65', 1 - 1, Pettinari S. ⚽,
72', Coccia L. ↓, Martey C. ↑,
74', Pettinari S. ↓, Dubickas E. ↑,
77', Proietto F. 🟨,
79', Leonardi S. 🟨,
83', Proietto F. ↓, Sodero A. ↑,
83', Fabrizi L. ↓, Ianesi S. ↑,
87', Ndrecka A. ↓, Kurti A. ↑,

Preview

In case of a draw home team advances.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Pianese won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:6. (average 1:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Pianese won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 1:3. (average 0.5:1.5).

Last Results with these Odds

Ternana - the odds 2.67 are the expected chance of winning is 34.29%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- US Pianese ASD
Italian Serie C Group B
26.04.26	Ternana - Pianese	1:3 ✺
18.04.26	Pianese - Juventus U23	0:0 ✺
11.04.26	Gubbio - Pianese	1:1 ✺
04.04.26	Pianese - Campobasso	0:2 ✺
29.03.26	Forlì - Pianese	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.9 WTTLT
- Ternana Calcio
Italian Serie C Group B
26.04.26	Ternana - Pianese	1:3 ✺
18.04.26	Bra - Ternana	1:2 ✺
12.04.26	Ternana - Perugia	2:2 ✺
08.04.26	Juventus U23 - Ternana	2:1 ✺
04.04.26	Guidonia Montecelio - Ternana	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.9 LWTLT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group B
26.04.26	Ternana - Pianese	1:3
21.12.25	Pianese - Ternana	0:0
23.04.25	Ternana - Pianese	2:0
07.12.24	Pianese - Ternana	1:3

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