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Current Win Probability
Piast Gliwice 59.5%
Draw 28.7%
Termalica Nieciecza 11.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
51.8%
26.2%
22%
Our Initial ML Estimation
52.1%
26%
21.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Piast Gliwice has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.7%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Piast Gliwice's performance.
Termalica Nieciecza has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.2%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Termalica Nieciecza might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Piast Gliwice than the current prediction. (-7.4%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Piast Gliwice that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Termalica Nieciecza than the current prediction. (+10.1%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Termalica Nieciecza could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
50%
30%
20%
Piast Gliwice - Termalica Nieciecza Predictions
Users Predictions:
10 users predict this event. Piast will win (votes: 5 - 50%). Termalica will win (votes: 2 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 30%). Confidence interval (95%) for Piast: 19% – 81%.
26. Plach F. (C) 20. Tomasiewicz G. 5. Juande 29. Drapinski I. 22. Mokwa T. 17. Boisgard Q. 10. Dziczek P. 7. Felix J. 98. Lokilo J. 9. Dalmau A. 11. Sanca L.
99. Mleczko M. (G) 29. Isik G. 2. Kopacz B. 3. Kasperkiewicz A. 21. Hilbrycht D. 28. Ambrosiewicz M. 13. Kubica K. 27. Boboc R. 53. Trubeha A. 25. Zapolnik K. (C) 7. Fassbender M.
Substitutes
63. Barkovskiy G. 28. Borowski F. 6. Chrapek M. 4. Czerwinski J. 77. Jirka E. 31. Lesniak O. 36. Lewicki J. 23. Mucha S. 15. Pitan L. 79. Rychta D. (G) 33. Szymanski K. (G) 80. Vallejo H.
1. Chovan A. (G) 26. Jakubik W. 9. Jimenez J. 8. Kurzawa R. 5. Masoero L. 23. Mini 77. Putivtsev A. 86. Strzalek I.
Coaches
Molder M.
Brosz M.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 2)
9', 0 - 1, Hilbrycht D. ⚽, Fassbender M. (A),
20', 0 - 2, Trubeha A. ⚽, Kubica K. (A),
29', Drapinski I. 🟨,
32', Trubeha A. 🟨,
40', 1 - 2, Dalmau A. ⚽,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
46', Boisgard Q. ↓, Jirka E. ↑,
46', Zapolnik K. ↓, Jimenez J. ↑,
50', Ambrosiewicz M. 🟨,
51', 2 - 2, Sanca L. ⚽, Felix J. (A),
60', 3 - 2, Sanca L. ⚽,
62', Fassbender M. ↓, Kurzawa R. ↑,
62', Trubeha A. ↓, Mini ↑,
70', Dalmau A. 🟥,
75', Sanca L. ↓, Pitan L. ↑,
75', Lokilo J. ↓, Barkovskiy G. ↑,
81', Tomasiewicz G. ↓, Lesniak O. ↑,
83', Hilbrycht D. ↓, Strzalek I. ↑,
83', Boboc R. ↓, Jakubik W. ↑,
84', Felix J. ↓, Chrapek M. ↑,
88', Jimenez J. 🟨,
90+6', 4 - 2, Jirka E. ⚽, Dziczek P. (A),
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Piast won 4.
Piast has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Termalica has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
Piast will hold a modest advantage in this match.
There will not play in Piast: Katsantonis A.
(Knee Injury)
Twumasi E.
(Yellow Cards)
In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Piast won 7 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 18:9. (average 1.8:0.9).
Including home matches between the teams, Piast won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 10:3. (average 2:0.6).
Canada
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Poland
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Plach F. (C) 
Tomasiewicz G. 
Juande 
Boisgard Q. 
Lokilo J. 
Sanca L. 
Isik G. 
Boboc R. 
Barkovskiy G. 
Masoero L. 
Putivtsev A. 
Molder M. 
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