Match Info

ITALY: Serie C - Group C - Round 18

Date: 8 December 2024, Sunday

Location: Stadio Comunale Donato Curcio (Picerno)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	NOW TV, Sky Sport 256


	Picerno		Turris

	1	X	2
	1.57	3.5	5.25
	1.56	3.65	6
	1.58	3.56	6.08
	1.59	3.61	6.26	Watch
	1.5	3.6	6
	1.51	3.66	6.13	Watch
	1.56	3.65	6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.55 ↓ (1.64)	3.6 ↑ (3.4)	5.96 ↑ (5.31)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Picerno
59.1%

Draw
25.5%

Turris
15.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.8%

26.9%

17.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.2%

25.8%

16.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Picerno has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

Turris has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Picerno than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Turris than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

Picerno - Turris Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Summa E. (G) 2. Pagliai G. 13. Gilli M. 3. Nicoletti M. 25. Guerra W. 8. Franco D. 30. De Ciancio R. 7. Energe A. 11. Esposito E. (C) 19. Petito F. 9. Bernardotto G.	22. Marcone R. (G) 2. Esempio S. (C) 13. Ricci L. 19. Parodi G. 38. Nicolao G. 16. Casarini F. 4. Castellano F. 99. Pugliese S. 23. Scaccabarozzi J. 18. Onofrietti V. 45. Ekuban J.
Substitutes
99. Cardoni K. 17. Cecere S. 77. Graziani V. 10. Maiorino P. 1. Merelli D. (G) 5. Pitarresi F. 14. Ragone V. 16. Santarcangelo A. 37. Vitali P.	11. Armiento C. 66. Boli J. 30. Desiato F. . Fallani M. (G) 1. Iuliano S. (G) 8. Morrone B. 27. Porro M. 31. Sabatino B. 9. Solmonte A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
22', 1 - 0, Esposito E. ⚽,
30', Ekuban J. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
65', Esempio S. 🟨,
71', Esposito E. ↓, Maiorino P. ↑,
73', Nicolao G. ↓, Boli J. ↑,
74', Casarini F. ↓, Morrone B. ↑,
75', Castellano F. 🟨,
82', Franco D. ↓, Pitarresi F. ↑,
83', 2 - 0, Bernardotto G. ⚽,
85', Ekuban J. ↓, Porro M. ↑,
86', Bernardotto G. ↓, Santarcangelo A. ↑,

Preview

This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/32~finals) and 18 in the zone Serie C ~ Play Out).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Picerno won 2.

Recent matches Picerno is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Turris is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Turris could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Picerno is a favorite.

Last 9 head-to-head matches Picerno won 5 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 12:6 (average 1.3:0.7).

Including matches at home between the teams Picerno won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 4:3 (average 1:0.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AZ Picerno ASD
Italian Serie C Group C
30.11.24	Latina - Picerno	2:0 ✺
22.11.24	Picerno - Altamura	2:0 ✺
16.11.24	Sorrento - Picerno	1:1 ✺
09.11.24	Picerno - Benevento	1:0 ✺
04.11.24	Monopoli - Picerno	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.2 LWTWT
- FC Turris 1944
Italian Serie C Group C
01.12.24	Turris - ACR Messina	1:2 ✺
27.11.24	Juventus U23 - Turris	0:0 ✺
24.11.24	Turris - Foggia	1:2 ✺
11.11.24	Turris - Altamura	1:1 ✺
04.11.24	Benevento - Turris	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 LTLTL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group C
02.02.24	Picerno - Turris	1:0
25.09.23	Turris - Picerno	1:3
22.01.23	Turris - Picerno	1:1
18.09.22	Picerno - Turris	0:1
23.01.22	Picerno - Turris	0:1
19.09.21	Turris - Picerno	0:1
Italian Serie D - Group H
12.04.18	Picerno - Turris	3:1

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