Match Info

POLAND: III Liga - Group I - Round 30

Date: 15 May 2024, Wednesday


	Pilica Białobrzegi		Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki

	1	X	2
	4.4	4.1	1.55
	4.5	4.07	1.56
	4.5	4.07	1.57
	4.86	4.26	1.56	Watch
	4.2	4.25	1.57
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.49 ↑ (4.05)	4.15 ↑ (3.8)	1.56 ↓ (1.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pilica Białobrzegi
20.2%

Draw
21.8%

Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki
58%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

22.5%

24%

53.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22%

23.5%

54.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pilica Białobrzegi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pilica Białobrzegi than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki than the current prediction. (-3.2%)

Pilica Białobrzegi - Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
10', 0 - 1, Kopczynski M. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 4)
59', 0 - 2, Ciach A. ⚽,
66', 0 - 3, Tkaczyk J. ⚽,
71', 0 - 4, Knysh K. ⚽,
85', 0 - 5, Michalik H. ⚽,

Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and an outsider (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 4).

Pilica Białobrzegi has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Świt is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match Świt is a favorite.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Pilica Białobrzegi won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 7-15.

Including matches at home between the teams Pilica Białobrzegi won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- MKS Pilica Białobrzegi
Polish Division 3 - Group I
11.05.24	Mławianka Mława - Pilica Białobrzegi	1:0 ✺
03.05.24	Pilica Białobrzegi - Concordia Elbląg	0:1 ✺
27.04.24	Broń Radom - Pilica Białobrzegi	2:1 ✺
20.04.24	Pilica Białobrzegi - Pelikan Łowicz	1:1 ✺
14.04.24	Legia II - Pilica Białobrzegi	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 LLLTL
- Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki
Polish Division 3 - Group I
10.05.24	Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki - Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki	3:1 ✺
03.05.24	Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki - Mławianka Mława	3:0 ✺
27.04.24	Concordia Elbląg - Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki	2:1 ✺
20.04.24	Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki - Broń Radom	0:0 ✺
13.04.24	Pelikan Łowicz - Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.4 WWLTW

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 3 - Group I
21.10.23	Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki - Pilica Białobrzegi	5:2
29.04.23	Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki - Pilica Białobrzegi	4:1
21.09.22	Pilica Białobrzegi - Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki	1:2
28.05.22	Pilica Białobrzegi - Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki	3:1
23.10.21	Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki - Pilica Białobrzegi	3:0

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