Match Info

POLAND: III Liga - Group I - Round 33

Date: 1 June 2024, Saturday


	Pilica Białobrzegi		Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki

	1	X	2
	13.5	7.75	1.12
	13.74	8.01	1.1
	13.74	8.01	1.1
	17	8.2	1.09	Watch
	9	6	1.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	13.4 ↑ (5.75)	7.59 ↑ (4.25)	1.12 ↓ (1.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.75

The best margin for this event is 9.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pilica Białobrzegi
6.8%

Draw
12%

Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki
81.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

15.8%

21.4%

62.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

15.5%

21%

63.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pilica Białobrzegi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Pilica Białobrzegi's form might have worsened.

Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+18.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pilica Białobrzegi than the current prediction. (+8.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Pilica Białobrzegi, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki than the current prediction. (-17.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Pilica Białobrzegi - Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
31', 0 - 1, Lis J. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 2)
56', 0 - 2, Lis J. ⚽,
67', 0 - 3, Zinkewycz O. ⚽,
89', 1 - 3, ⚽,
90', 2 - 3, ⚽,

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Division 2).

Pilica Białobrzegi is Relegated to

Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki is Qualified for Division 2

Pilica Białobrzegi has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki in the latest match got series victories and it is in excellent form (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

In this match Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki is certain favorite.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Pilica Białobrzegi won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 2-14.

Including matches at home between the teams Pilica Białobrzegi won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- MKS Pilica Białobrzegi
Polish Division 3 - Group I
25.05.24	Unia Skierniewice - Pilica Białobrzegi	5:0 ✺
19.05.24	Pilica Białobrzegi - Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki	2:6 ✺
15.05.24	Pilica Białobrzegi - Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki	0:5 ✺
11.05.24	Mławianka Mława - Pilica Białobrzegi	1:0 ✺
03.05.24	Pilica Białobrzegi - Concordia Elbląg	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki
Polish Division 3 - Group I
25.05.24	Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki - Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki	4:0 ✺
18.05.24	Mławianka Mława - Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki	1:5 ✺
15.05.24	Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki - Concordia Elbląg	15:0 ✺
10.05.24	Broń Radom - Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki	1:1 ✺
04.05.24	Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki - Pelikan Łowicz	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 WWWTW

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 3 - Group I
11.11.23	Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki - Pilica Białobrzegi	6:0
Club Friendly
22.07.23	Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki - Pilica Białobrzegi	6:1
Polish Division 3 - Group I
18.03.23	Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki - Pilica Białobrzegi	1:0
17.08.22	Pilica Białobrzegi - Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki	1:1

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