Match Info

POLAND: III Liga - Group I - Round 32

Date: 25 May 2024, Saturday


	Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki		Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki

	1	X	2
	1.46	4.1	5.5
	1.45	4.45	5.5	Watch
	1.48	4.05	5.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.46 ↓ (1.7)	4.2 ↑ (3.8)	5.43 ↑ (4.05)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 9.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki
61.8%

Draw
21.5%

Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki
16.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.6%

24%

22.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.4%

23.2%

21.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki's performance.

Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki than the current prediction. (-6.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki than the current prediction. (+5.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki - Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 0)
13', 1 - 0, (Own goal),
42', 2 - 0, Zinkewycz O. ⚽,
45+2', 3 - 0, Niski N. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
75', 4 - 0, Mazur M. ⚽,

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki
Polish Division 3 - Group I
18.05.24	Mławianka Mława - Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki	1:5 ✺
15.05.24	Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki - Concordia Elbląg	15:0 ✺
10.05.24	Broń Radom - Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki	1:1 ✺
04.05.24	Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki - Pelikan Łowicz	3:1 ✺
27.04.24	Legia II - Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki	4:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 WWTWL
- Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki
Polish Division 3 - Group I
18.05.24	Unia Skierniewice - Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki	4:3 ✺
15.05.24	Pilica Białobrzegi - Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki	0:5 ✺
10.05.24	Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki - Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki	3:1 ✺
03.05.24	Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki - Mławianka Mława	3:0 ✺
27.04.24	Concordia Elbląg - Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 LWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 3 - Group I
04.11.23	Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki - Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki	1:1
11.06.23	Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki - Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki	2:1
12.11.22	Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki - Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki	0:1
16.06.21	Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki - Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki	2:1
08.05.21	Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki - Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki	1:2
20.03.21	Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki - Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki	1:0
07.03.20	Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki - Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki	3:2

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