The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Pianese 41.4%
Draw 29.6%
SPAL 29%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
48.6%
27.4%
24%
Our Initial ML Estimation
51.3%
26%
22.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Pianese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.2%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Pianese's form might have worsened.
SPAL has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pianese than the current prediction. (+9.9%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Pianese, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for SPAL than the current prediction. (-6.3%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for SPAL, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
100%
0%
0%
Pianese - SPAL Predictions
Users Predictions:
Pianese will win
(7 of 7 users predict this - 100%). Confidence interval (95%): 100% โ 100%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
12. Boer P. (G) 29. Bacchin L. 7. Da Pozzo L. 13. Ercolani L. 27. Frey D. 56. Masetti L. 10. Mastropietro F. 9. Mignani G. 23. Nicoli S. 15. Polidori M. (C) 30. Proietto F.
12. Galeotti C. (G) 3. Bruscagin M. 33. D'Orazio L. 6. Fiordaliso A. 17. Iglio G. 25. Molina J. I. 29. Nador S. 4. Paghera F. 27. Parigini V. 10. Radrezza I. (C) 20. Zammarini R.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
16', Frey D. 🟨,
28', Polidori M. ↓, Simeoni L. ↑,
32', Parigini V. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
54', Bruscagin M. 🟨,
67', Parigini V. ↓, Rao E. ↑,
67', Iglio G. ↓, Calapai L. ↑,
68', Ercolani L. ↓, Indragoli G. ↑,
75', 0 - 1, Molina J. I. ⚽,
78', Paghera F. ↓, Nina C. ↑,
78', D'Orazio L. ↓, Awua T. ↑,
79', Awua T. 🟨,
82', Mastropietro F. 🟨,
84', Bacchin L. 🟨,
85', Mastropietro F. ↓, Colombo M. ↑,
85', Proietto F. ↓, Falleni A. ↑,
87', Molina J. I. ↓, Karlsson O. ↑,
Preview
In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/32~finals) and 17 in the zone Serie C ~ Play Out).
Recent matches Pianese is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
SPAL has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
Pianese will have a poor advantage in this game.
There will not play in Pianese: Pacciardi F.
(Yellow Cards)
There will not play in SPAL: Antenucci M.
(Yellow Cards)
Bidaoui S.
(Muscle Injury)
Camelio U.
(Muscle Injury)
El Kaddouri O.
(Muscle Injury)
Mignanelli D.
(Yellow Cards)
Parravicini F.
(Heart Problems)
Sottini E.
(Injury)
Last 1 head-to-head matches Pianese won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1:1
Italy
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Boer P. (G) 
Molina J. I. 
Nador S. 
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