The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
SPAL 29.9%
Draw 30.1%
Arezzo 39.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
35.3%
27.3%
37.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
35.2%
27.2%
37.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
SPAL has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that SPAL's form might have worsened.
Arezzo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for SPAL than the current prediction. (+5.3%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for SPAL, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arezzo than the current prediction. (-2.4%)
SPAL - Arezzo Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
12. Galeotti C. (G) 28. Calapai L. 6. Fiordaliso A. 29. Nador S. 19. Mignanelli D. 33. D'Orazio L. 4. Paghera F. 10. Radrezza I. 27. Parigini V. 9. Karlsson O. 7. Antenucci M.
1. Trombini L. (G) 6. Renzi A. 5. Gilli M. 19. Chiosa M. 23. Righetti S. 16. Eklu S. M. 7. Guccione F. 28. Capello A. 10. Pattarello E. 21. Tavernelli C. 33. Dezi J.
Substitutes
5. Awua T. 26. Bassoli A. 3. Bruscagin M. 15. Haoudi H. 17. Iglio G. 22. Meneghetti M. (G) 25. Molina J. I. 99. Nina C. 18. Ntenda J. 11. Rao E. 40. Spini C. 20. Zammarini R. 31. Zenti A. (G)
26. Bigi N. 22. Borra D. (G) 24. Chierico L. 27. Coccia L. 31. Concetti E. (G) 18. Damiani M. 14. Fiore S. 12. Galli A. (G) 15. Gigli N. 17. Lazzarini M. 2. Montini A. 9. Ogunseye R. 20. Santoro S.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 2)
2', Paghera F. 🟨,
19', 0 - 1, Gilli M. ⚽,
26', Mignanelli D. 🟨,
27', 0 - 2, Pattarello E. ⚽,
42', Capello A. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Karlsson O. ↓, Rao E. ↑,
46', Paghera F. ↓, Haoudi H. ↑,
57', Antenucci M. 🟨,
59', Antenucci M. ↓, Molina J. I. ↑,
65', Parigini V. ↓, Zammarini R. ↑,
67', Renzi A. ↓, Montini A. ↑,
76', Dezi J. ↓, Chierico L. ↑,
76', Eklu S. M. ↓, Damiani M. ↑,
82', Pattarello E. ↓, Gigli N. ↑,
82', Capello A. ↓, Ogunseye R. ↑,
90', Fiordaliso A. ↓, Spini C. ↑,
Preview
An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 17 in the zone Serie C ~ Play Out and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/32~finals)).
SPAL has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
Recent matches Arezzo is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.
There will not play in SPAL: Bidaoui S.
(Muscle Injury)
Camelio U.
(Muscle Injury)
El Kaddouri O.
(Muscle Injury)
Parravicini F.
(Heart Problems)
Radrezza I.
(Yellow Cards)
Sottini E.
(Injury)
Last 5 head-to-head matches SPAL won 0 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 6:9 (average 1.2:1.8).
Including matches at home between the teams SPAL won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1:1 (average 0.5:0.5).
Last Results with these Odds
SPAL - the odds 2.54 are the expected chance of winning is 35.3%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.
Italy
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Galeotti C. (G) 
Nador S. 
Karlsson O. 
Eklu S. M. 
Awua T. 
Molina J. I. 
Ntenda J. 
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