Match Info

Serie C - Group B - Round 36

Date: 11 April 2026, Saturday

Location: Mimmo Pavone-Alessandro Mariani (Pineto)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 254


	Pineto		Sassari Torres

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.92	3	2.4	Watch
	2.83	2.98	2.68
	3.01	3.01	2.36	Watch
	2.9	2.75	2.3
	3.14	2.72	2.41	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.96 ↑ (2.43)	2.89 ↓ (3.24)	2.43 ↓ (2.72)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pineto
30.8%

Draw
31.6%

Sassari Torres
37.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.8%

28.4%

33.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.9%

30%

32%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pineto has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Pineto's form might have worsened.

Sassari Torres has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pineto than the current prediction. (+9.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Pineto, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sassari Torres than the current prediction. (-5.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Sassari Torres, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	66.7%	0%

Pineto - Sassari Torres Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Pineto will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Pineto (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1 - Pineto (5.35) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Pineto (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Tonti A. (G) 17. Baggi F. 4. Postiglione N. 35. Giannini D. 11. Borsoi M. 8. Germinario G. 5. Schirone L. 21. Lombardi L. 24. Vigliotti G. 99. Pellegrino A. 9. D'Andrea F.	12. Zaccagno A. (G) 6. Nunziatini F. 23. Antonelli N. 13. Baldi M. 27. Zambataro E. 10. Mastinu G. 24. Giorico D. 16. Sala M. 7. Di Stefano L. 77. Zecca G. 11. Diakite A.
Substitutes
6. Amadio S. 19. Biggi S. 79. Di Lazzaro F. 80. El Haddad S. 16. Gagliardi L. 3. Ienco S. 14. Kraja E. 1. Marone F. (G) 7. Marrancone A. 28. Nebuloso G. 39. Sabatelli A. 23. Serbouti A. 12. Verna A. (G)	25. Bonin L. 4. Brentan M. 26. Dumani S. 30. Fabriani C. 14. Idda R. 15. Liviero M. 9. Luciani P. 20. Lunghi A. 22. Marano M. (G) 21. Olayiwola S. 99. Sorrentino D. 44. Zanandrea G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
3', Postiglione N. 🟨,
13', Giorico D. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Nunziatini F. ↓, Idda R. ↑,
55', Diakite A. ↓, Sorrentino D. ↑,
55', Mastinu G. ↓, Brentan M. ↑,
61', Borsoi M. ↓, Ienco S. ↑,
64', Vigliotti G. 🟨,
72', Vigliotti G. ↓, Marrancone A. ↑,
73', Lombardi L. ↓, Nebuloso G. ↑,
74', Germinario G. 🟨,
82', Idda R. 🟨,
85', Zecca G. ↓, Fabriani C. ↑,
85', Pellegrino A. ↓, El Haddad S. ↑,
85', Schirone L. ↓, Biggi S. ↑,
89', Di Stefano L. ↓, Lunghi A. ↑,
90', Lunghi A. 🟨,

Preview

A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/32~finals) and 16 in the zone Serie C ~ Play Out).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Pineto won 0.

Recent performances by Pineto have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Torres is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Pineto may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Pineto won 1 match, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 8:8. (average 1.3:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Pineto won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2. (average 1:1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
9	Torres	8	3	3	2	9:9	0	12
16	Pineto	8	1	4	3	6:11	-5	7

Last Results with these Odds

Pineto - the odds 2.43 are the expected chance of winning is 37.83%, but this team recently wins 30% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- ASD Pineto Calcio
Italian Serie C Group B
04.04.26	Ravenna - Pineto	1:0 ✺
29.03.26	Pineto - Sambenedettese	0:0 ✺
21.03.26	Carpi - Pineto	1:2 ✺
14.03.26	Pineto - Bra	2:1 ✺
08.03.26	Pianese - Pineto	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 LTWWL
- Sassari Torres 1903
Italian Serie C Group B
28.03.26	Sassari Torres - Livorno	3:1 ✺
20.03.26	Perugia - Sassari Torres	1:1 ✺
14.03.26	Sassari Torres - Ravenna	2:2 ✺
08.03.26	Carpi - Sassari Torres	1:1 ✺
04.03.26	Sassari Torres - Guidonia Montecelio	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 WTTTW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group B
07.12.25	Sassari Torres - Pineto	1:1
25.01.25	Pineto - Sassari Torres	0:0
21.09.24	Sassari Torres - Pineto	1:1
28.04.24	Pineto - Sassari Torres	2:2
22.12.23	Sassari Torres - Pineto	1:0
Coppa Italia Serie D
13.11.19	Sassari Torres - Pineto	3:4 penalties

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